Said on Apr 10, 2025, at 15:34 in the video.
“Taken together this all suggests that long-term interest
rates will continue rising in the coming years along with mortgage rates”Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.
30 days
Not verifiable
90 days
Not verifiable
180 days
Not verifiable
1 year
Not verifiable
Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.
| Window | Result | At the start | At the end | Change | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 90 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 180 daysR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 1 yearR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 3 yearsR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
| 5 yearsR-FED v4 | Not verifiable | — | — | — | — |
Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.
Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.
means higher interest rates on US mortgages Well uh let's just say it's not looking too good there The Fed seems determined to keep interest rates higher for longer The US economy has been weakening but not enough that it's recessionary Yet inflation is expected to rise because of things like tariffs and the 10-year bond issuance will increase after the debt ceiling is raised Notably the 10-year bond issuance will increase even more when the US government stops borrowing much more money using the short-term bonds Taken together this all suggests that long-term interest rates will continue rising in the coming years along with mortgage rates If they do then the effects on the housing market will be almost identical to the privatization of Fanny and Freddy Lower housing prices but also more expensive mortgages Again in the short term this could mean housing prices staying high while mortgage rates rise which is almost exactly what we've been seeing in recent months It's only in the longer term that housing prices would start to come down which will be good for the 35% of Americans who don't own homes already uh the remaining 65% will see the values of
What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.
Graham Stephana call with no clear direction
“in my opinion, the big move to really watch out for is whether or not the 10-year Treasury yield exceeds or hits 5%.”
Sep 3, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“That is partially why interest rates are expected to go up here in the US.”
Jul 28, 2026 · after 1 year
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“Either way, it looks like yields are going to go up.”
Jun 5, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham StephanInterest rates— no direction stated
“the government's just going to print more money while keeping interest rates as low as they possibly can.”
Jun 1, 2026 · after 1 year
Graham Stephan, relaying Congressional Budget Office: Interest rates will rise
“the Congressional Budget Office now projects interest will reach $2.1 trillion a year by 2036,”
Jun 1, 2026
Andrei JikhInterest rateswill rise
“But it is especially bad when the riskfree rate, meaning what you can get today from a government bond is sitting at above 5%. It's probably going higher.”
May 26, 2026 · after 1 year
