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Coin Bureau: Market crash — not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

Said on Oct 16, 2022, at 23:01 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“this is around the time that the next crypto bull market will be ending and it's possible that a Crackdown by the FSB will be a catalyst for the crash”
Watch at 23:01Have You SEEN This?! The Crypto Regulations They Want!
PredictionMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in generalChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Details and evidenceReport a problem

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

What was said around it

come in the finalized recommendations will come sometime in mid-2023 which is eight months from now moreover additional recommendations might be issued to address D5 sometime next year the authors note that these additional recommendations will only be made if the FSB decides that defy poses a threat to financial stability AKA to The Current financial system spoiler it does more importantly the authors note that the FSB will only begin assessing the implementation of its crypto recommendations as regulations in late 2025. this is around the time that the next crypto bull market will be ending and it's possible that a Crackdown by the FSB will be a catalyst for the crash in any case these recommendations will be bad for crypto if they become regulations that's simply because they will crush the centralized elements of the crypto industry and use stablecoin issuers as leverage over its decentralized elements if using stable coins as leverage in D5 protocols and the like fails to result in the intended consequence it looks like Regulators have the green light to go after crypto developers the Crackdown on tornado caches developers after the protocol was sanctioned arguably proves that this

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable