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Coin Bureau: SPY will rise

Said on Oct 19, 2022, at 16:17 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“it looks like this bill won't be voted on anytime soon and that suggests there could still be a few more Big Bear Market rallies before the midterm elections”
Watch at 16:17Congress Insider Trading BAN!! Could It Be Coming?!
PredictionSPYwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as the market, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$368.50

Oct 19, 2022

Price at close

$426.43

Oct 19, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+17.5%

SPY closed at $368.50 on Oct 19, 2022. On Oct 19, 2023 it closed at $426.43, a total return of +17.5% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

SPYWindow checked
$350$400$450$500Apr 2022Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Dec 2023Said on Oct 19, 2022
$350$400$450$500Apr 2022Nov 2022May 2023Dec 2023Said on Oct 19, 2022

SPY closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$368.50Oct 19, 2022$396.03Nov 18, 2022+7.5%Total return, dividends included—
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$368.50Oct 19, 2022$397.77Jan 17, 2023+8.4%Total return, dividends included—
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$368.50Oct 19, 2022$413.94Apr 17, 2023+13.3%Total return, dividends included—
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$368.50Oct 19, 2022$426.43Oct 19, 2023+17.5%Total return, dividends included—
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$368.50Oct 19, 2022$664.39Oct 17, 2025+87.9%Total return, dividends included—
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 18, 2027——
Why: 30 days

SPY closed at $368.50 on Oct 19, 2022. On Nov 18, 2022 it closed at $396.03, a total return of +7.5% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

SPY closed at $368.50 on Oct 19, 2022. On Jan 17, 2023 it closed at $397.77, a total return of +8.4% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

SPY closed at $368.50 on Oct 19, 2022. On Apr 17, 2023 it closed at $413.94, a total return of +13.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

SPY closed at $368.50 on Oct 19, 2022. On Oct 19, 2023 it closed at $426.43, a total return of +17.5% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

SPY closed at $368.50 on Oct 19, 2022. On Oct 17, 2025 it closed at $664.39, a total return of +87.9% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 18, 2027.

What was said around it

bill quite suspicious I mean the only reason why politicians would band together to support a ban on investing in trading is because they know there's no more money to be made in the short to medium term it's a red flag similar to Elon Musk selling his Twitter stock near the top or all the other CEOs and billionaires bailing on their companies shortly before the market started crashing in retrospect we should have taken their actions as a sign to do the same lessons for next time I suppose as I mentioned earlier though it looks like this bill won't be voted on anytime soon and that suggests there could still be a few more Big Bear Market rallies before the midterm elections some politicians are actually upset about the vote being postponed but who knows who's in their pockets call me crazy but I think this so-called stock trading ban is meant to not so subtly Target cryptocurrency that's simply because U.S government officials will still be allowed to invest in traditional assets like stocks and government debt albeit in a more limited manner cryptocurrencies on the other hand will be severely restricted and the wording of the bill suggests that even nfts will not be allowed then again

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Sep 9, 2026 · after 1 year

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Graham Stephan, relaying Fidelity: SPY will rise

“Fidelity thinks that this is just the very beginning and the markets will continue going higher because of AI.”

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“However, before the United States returns to the big print, the markets can continue going down.”

Aug 5, 2026 · after 30 days

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“On top of that, Morgan Stanley also believes 500 is going to rise this year, ending at 7,800. Citibank sees 7,700, and both JP Morgan and Wells Fargo see a relatively flat market for these next few months.”

Jul 27, 2026

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Graham Stephan, relaying Goldman Sachs: SPY will rise

“Goldman Sachs just raised their year-end S&P 500 target to 8,000, up from 7,600, which implies solid upside from where we are today.”

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Graham StephanSPYwill fall

“Historically, when the savings rate reaches an absolute low like this, the stock market tends to suffer in the years following. Now, I'm not saying that's a guarantee, but it's something at least worth considering.”

Jun 25, 2026 · after 90 days

Incorrect so far · 90 days+5.6%