Graham Stephan: a call with no clear direction

Said on Jun 6, 2025, at 9:28 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“Short-term, I would expect to see a lot more volatility. Flat out, investors hate this type of uncertainty. So, I wouldn't be surprised if we see more market turmoil.”
Watch at 9:28BREAKING: Trump Just Broke The Stock Market – “He Went Crazy!”
Predictiona call with no clear direction
What happened
Not scored

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

What was said around it

unified. Maybe it's too idealistic to expect that these matters would be handled privately behind closed doors. But objectively, I do think the country would be much better off if we didn't have so much political back and forth. Of course, I get it. The counterargument to this is that this allows everything to be aired out in the open publicly so that all of us could see exactly what's happening in real time and then come to a decision ourselves. Although in terms of how this impacts you, here's the honest truth. Short-term, I would expect to see a lot more volatility. Flat out, investors hate this type of uncertainty. So, I wouldn't be surprised if we see more market turmoil. But long-term, I wouldn't expect this to have any meaningful consequences. And it doesn't really change anything about the market fundamentals. Like, sure, not passing the new tax bill will most likely have a bit of a drag on the economy, but let's also be real. A new tax plan is most likely going to pass, and there will be spending increases because Congress loves to spend money. It is wildly unpopular to cut spending or raise taxes. So, the only thing left to do at this point is just to print more money. Is this

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable