Graham Stephan: Interest rates will fall

Said on Jun 28, 2019, at 8:33 in the video.

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“I have a sneaking feeling that this might be a teaser rate just to gain some market traction and as soon as they've gained a big enough foothold on the market they're going to lower their rates back down a bit”
Watch at 8:33Why I’m leaving Ally Bank
PredictionInterest rateswill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
0%0.5%1%1.5%2%2.5%3%201620172018201920192020Said on Jun 28, 2019
0%1%2%3%2016201720192020Said on Jun 28, 2019

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-FED v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. Reviewed: the call is about a bond, Treasury, mortgage or savings rate that this rule does not measure.

What was said around it

better and like I said I would just be more likely to use wealth fronts other services once they already have money with them and I'm sure other people just feel the same way and the fact that they're raising rates right now to gain notoriety is just a really smart thing to do and I commend them for doing this and just getting everyone to now talk about them like I am now my biggest concern when it comes to all of this is whether or not that 2.5 7 percent interest rate is going to be sustainable I have a sneaking feeling that this might be a teaser rate just to gain some market traction and as soon as they've gained a big enough foothold on the market they're going to lower their rates back down a bit now to be honest even if they do this I would still be pretty happy as long as they're offering more than what other banks are gonna be offering and given their excessive fee on some of their investment accounts I have a feeling that they could afford to keep this going for potentially quite some time but like I said only time will tell and as a no-frills just pure cash holding account to earn two point five seven percent interest so far I've been pretty happy with wealthfront and so far no

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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