“right now the market is predicting a 74% chance that they're going to lower interest rates by at least a qu% in September”Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ giảm
Được nói ngày 19/08/2024, tại 15:12 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Cận trên của biên độ lãi suất mục tiêu quỹ liên bang (Fed funds): Hội đồng Thống đốc Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
unemployment and that's exactly what we're seeing in this chart also economists say that it takes on average roughly 10 quarters after the first rate increase to put economies into a recession and right now we're on that 10th quarter which means the likelihood of us being in a recession is statistically higher and that's why when you add everything up together everyone is sort of waiting to see what the most important Bank of all will do of course the Federal Reserve the central bank and no one knows what they're going to do until September but right now the market is predicting a 74% chance that they're going to lower interest rates by at least a qu% in September now this doesn't always happen but when the FED starts to Pivot and lower interest rates that usually means the sign of a slowing economy and a potential recession ahead that's not to say that we are in a recession or we're going to be in one but those are just some of the things I've noticed now if you made it this far into the video here's what I'm personally doing please understand this is not supposed to be Financial advice and I don't want anyone to confuse the view counts of my video or the subscriber count of my channel as me
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lãi suất chính sách Fed
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“the market is now pricing in more than a 60% chance that on September 16th, the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points in addition to buying”
03/09/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028.”
17/06/2026
Andrei JikhLãi suất chính sách Fed— không nêu hướng
“I think we already know what he's going to do, which is nothing.”
15/06/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham StephanLãi suất chính sách Fedsẽ giảm
“Instead, it's quietly going to happen through pressure on the Federal Reserve and lower interest rates to the point where inflation exceeds it, eroding the purchasing power on everyone's money.”
01/06/2026 · sau 90 ngày
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“The stock market thinks that there's going to be a rate increase by January 2027. the odds of a rate increase are above 70% and going up.”
26/05/2026
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lãi suất chính sách Fed sẽ tăng
“Because right now, the market is predicting a rate increase by January 2027. In fact, we are over 70% odds that interest rates will go up, which is the opposite of what everyone thought would happen.”
26/05/2026