Andrei Jikh: a call with no clear direction

Said on Nov 11, 2025, at 18:09 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“So, there's a possibility that the stress signal shows up in Bitcoin before it shows up in the rest of the market, which means the rest of the market could eventually follow.”
Watch at 18:09The Al Bubble Is A Lot Worse Than You Think
Predictiona call with no clear direction
What happened
Not scored

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

What was said around it

hitting a stress point. Like have you seen the jobs report lately? Not looking good. Have you seen the AI valuations? Not looking good. So every time in history when liquidity stress shows up, risk assets don't like it. So this theory says that Bitcoin didn't go down because some magic line that's drawn on charts somewhere. It went down because Bitcoin happens to be what people say is the canary in the coal mine. It's the first one to be affected because it is the easiest thing to sell. So, it reacts first. So, there's a possibility that the stress signal shows up in Bitcoin before it shows up in the rest of the market, which means the rest of the market could eventually follow. So, that is one of the macro theories. I'll probably put you to sleep if I told you about the other ones, but just briefly mentioning them. Other theories for why Bitcoin is going down is Bitcoin is having its IPO moment, right? Early investors are selling it because it's the first time they can sell without crashing the market. There's people among us that have billions of dollars in Bitcoin alone. They're finally exiting those positions. There's even a theory about Bitcoin's core dev team changing something

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“Worst-case scenario is that investors get pushed to a point where it all unravels at once. But, given how Washington is closely monitoring the situation, I tend to believe that's probably not going to happen, and most likely this is going to blow over in a few weeks.”

Aug 3, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days0.0%

Andrei Jikha call with no clear direction

“So basically what we know is that every single time the yen got stronger really fast, it meant that markets somewhere in the world were starting to break.”

Jul 28, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephan, relaying Ed Yardeni: a call with no clear direction

“the veteran strategist Ed Yardeni, who's usually one of the most bullish people on the planet, recently raised his probability of a market meltdown to 35% citing the collision of the Iran oil shock with existing trade pressures.”

Jul 27, 2026

Relayed

Coin Bureaua call under review

“the next major crypto collapse is  unlikely to come from a regulator crackdown. It   is going to come from a regulator that looked away  while a politically connected firm built something   it could not actually support.”

Jun 4, 2026

Not scored

Graham StephanMarket crashwill not happen

“To me, the most realistic outcome here is not a sudden market crash that no one sees coming, but instead a slow constriction of the”

May 18, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+6.1%

Coin BureauMarket crash— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“Or are we watching the slow-motion opening of a 2022 style cascade where the largest concentrated holder of an asset eventually becomes the trigger for the next major leg lower?”

May 9, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable