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Andrei Jikh: SPY will rise

Said on Jul 11, 2022, at 4:03 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“later toward the end of this month i'm betting the stock market will come back up”
Watch at 4:03The Wealth Transfer Just Started | How To Prepare
PredictionSPYwill riseby Aug 10, 2022

Recorded as the stock market, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$380.83

Jul 12, 2022

Price at close

$442.46

Jul 11, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+18.1%

SPY closed at $380.83 on Jul 12, 2022. On Jul 11, 2023 it closed at $442.46, a total return of +18.1% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

SPYWindow checked
$340$360$380$400$420$440$460$480Jan 2022May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Sep 2023Said on Jul 11, 2022
$350$400$450$500Jan 2022Aug 2022Feb 2023Sep 2023Said on Jul 11, 2022

SPY closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$380.83Jul 12, 2022$419.99Aug 10, 2022+10.3%Total return, dividends included—
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$380.83Jul 12, 2022$362.79Oct 7, 2022−4.3%Total return, dividends included—
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$380.83Jul 12, 2022$388.08Jan 6, 2023+2.8%Total return, dividends included—
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$380.83Jul 12, 2022$442.46Jul 11, 2023+18.1%Total return, dividends included—
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$380.83Jul 12, 2022$625.82Jul 10, 2025+71.5%Total return, dividends included—
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 9, 2027——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Correct$380.83Jul 12, 2022$419.99Aug 10, 2022+10.3%Total return, dividends included—
Why: 30 days

SPY closed at $380.83 on Jul 12, 2022. On Aug 10, 2022 it closed at $419.99, a total return of +10.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

SPY closed at $380.83 on Jul 12, 2022. On Oct 7, 2022 it closed at $362.79, a total return of −4.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

SPY closed at $380.83 on Jul 12, 2022. On Jan 6, 2023 it closed at $388.08, a total return of +2.8% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

SPY closed at $380.83 on Jul 12, 2022. On Jul 11, 2023 it closed at $442.46, a total return of +18.1% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

SPY closed at $380.83 on Jul 12, 2022. On Jul 10, 2025 it closed at $625.82, a total return of +71.5% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 9, 2027.

Why: Stated deadline

SPY closed at $380.83 on Jul 12, 2022. On Aug 10, 2022 it closed at $419.99, a total return of +10.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

What was said around it

we've seen the worst of it but if the cpi inflation data comes in higher than 8.6 like economists expect for it to i think the market on wednesday will end up in the red and that's because investors do not like inflation and the reason they don't like inflation is because their input prices or the cost to make stuff goes up which of course they pass on to us the consumers but then later they have to pay their employees more to make up for it so kind of balances out but the point is when companies profit margins go down their share prices fall as well now later toward the end of this month i'm betting the stock market will come back up and that's because when we get a high reading to the cpi the inflation report which i think we will that gives more reason to papa jerome powell to increase the federal fund rate at the next illuminati i mean fomc meeting come july 26th 27th so if the central bank increases the federal fund rate by 0.75 or more which the stock market placed the odds at 96.3 chance of happening that's when that day i think the market will be up and that's because the stock market wants to see the fed fight inflation which normally is not the case normally the stock market

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Jun 25, 2026 · after 90 days

Incorrect so far · 90 days+5.6%