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Andrei Jikh: SPY will rise

Said on Aug 18, 2023, at 12:36 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“like right now I think the stock market will go up but what does that even mean like how much do stocks have to go up by for me to be right”
Watch at 12:36The Coming Stock Market Crash: Explaining Michael Burry’s $1.6 Billion Bet
PredictionSPYwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as stock market, a word for a group: this call is judged on SPY, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$439.34

Aug 21, 2023

Price at close

$554.31

Aug 16, 2024

Total return, dividends included

+27.9%

SPY closed at $439.34 on Aug 21, 2023. On Aug 16, 2024 it closed at $554.31, a total return of +27.9% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

SPYWindow checked
$350$400$450$500$550$600Feb 2023Jun 2023Oct 2023Feb 2024Jun 2024Oct 2024Said on Aug 18, 2023
$350$400$450$500$550$600Feb 2023Sep 2023Mar 2024Oct 2024Said on Aug 18, 2023

SPY closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$439.34Aug 21, 2023$443.37Sep 15, 2023+1.3%Total return, dividends included—
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$439.34Aug 21, 2023$450.23Nov 16, 2023+2.8%Total return, dividends included—
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$439.34Aug 21, 2023$498.57Feb 14, 2024+14.3%Total return, dividends included—
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$439.34Aug 21, 2023$554.31Aug 16, 2024+27.9%Total return, dividends included—
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$439.34Aug 21, 2023$772.67Aug 17, 2026+82.6%Total return, dividends included—
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Aug 16, 2028——
Why: 30 days

SPY closed at $439.34 on Aug 21, 2023. On Sep 15, 2023 it closed at $443.37, a total return of +1.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

SPY closed at $439.34 on Aug 21, 2023. On Nov 16, 2023 it closed at $450.23, a total return of +2.8% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

SPY closed at $439.34 on Aug 21, 2023. On Feb 14, 2024 it closed at $498.57, a total return of +14.3% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

SPY closed at $439.34 on Aug 21, 2023. On Aug 16, 2024 it closed at $554.31, a total return of +27.9% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

SPY closed at $439.34 on Aug 21, 2023. On Aug 17, 2026 it closed at $772.67, a total return of +82.6% (dividends included). The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 16, 2028.

What was said around it

21 11 months months later and in January 2023 he tweeted cell due to fears of a recession and more inflation but stocks went up 17 and technically 15 if you're looking at this week and in August 2023 he's betting against the stock market in the tech sector and maybe this time will be different and he'll be 100 right but my point is this most people will remember all the accurate predictions that ended up becoming true and none of the ones that failed and the more predictions a person makes the higher the odds of their success like right now I think the stock market will go up but what does that even mean like how much do stocks have to go up by for me to be right and how much do stocks have to fall by for me to be considered wrong and how long does my prediction last what's the time frame because if it's forever all predictions will eventually be true so take all that with a grain of salt because no one knows what's going to happen to the stock market pay attention to it stick with it personally I'm going to continue the dollar cost to average into it but as always focus on your own investment Journey have a wonderful rest of your day smash the like button subscribe if you haven't already

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Jun 25, 2026 · after 90 days

Incorrect so far · 90 days+5.6%