Andrei Jikh: Interest rates will rise

Said on May 2, 2022, at 11:44 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“now bond prices will keep going down but their yields will go up especially once the fed starts to sell off their bond portfolio”
Watch at 11:44The Recession Just Started | How Not To Lose Money
PredictionInterest rateswill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−2%0%2%4%6%201920202021202120222023Said on May 2, 2022
−2%0%2%4%6%2019202020222023Said on May 2, 2022

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-FED v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

What was said around it

closely tracks stocks so whatever happens to the stock market will most likely be echoed by crypto maybe not one to one perfectly but probably close enough real estate's way too broad and too complicated to give you a blanket statement because it really depends on local conditions on market demand and a lot more than just interest rates but one thing is true in that the median home value is around four hundred twenty eight thousand seven hundred dollars and it's becoming more and more unaffordable for the average person to buy a house now bond prices will keep going down but their yields will go up especially once the fed starts to sell off their bond portfolio and this year we could see a huge rotation out of stocks which is where the other 50 plus percent will come from falling in the stock market and maybe a huge rotation into bonds as their rates go up so i guess we'll see what happens but all of this is from an investment perspective and i think more important than investing is how a recession could affect our daily lives so far all the predictions and all the estimates i've given you are based under the assumption that the federal fund rate will be at 300 basis points by the end of

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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