Coin Bureau: Market correction — not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

Said on Jun 12, 2022, at 12:35 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“so are we likely to see a replay of the 2008 housing crash well not quite while the u.s property market is indeed due a correction”
Watch at 12:35Housing Bubble COLLAPSING?! What You NEED To Watch!!
PredictionMarket correction— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in generalChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

What was said around it

building supplies on the market means cheaper inputs and therefore lower prices to quote economist ian shepardson quote the party is over now i happen to agree with him yes you have the stats to back it up but you also have to consider how much more rates are likely to rise the fed has made it clear that it is going to do whatever it takes to stave off inflation and that will mean some pretty aggressive rate hikes if the fed's fund rate goes over the 3 level that some are expecting that will make mortgages prohibitively expensive so are we likely to see a replay of the 2008 housing crash well not quite while the u.s property market is indeed due a correction the main difference we have in today's market is the fact that homeowners are a lot more creditworthy if you cast your minds back to the 2008 financial crisis one of the biggest contributors to the housing contagion was the prevalence of sub-prime lending people with bad credit ratings were able to get home loans as easily as they were able to get credit cards in some cases the banks didn't even care about the credit ratings of the borrowers that was because as long as housing prices were going up so too was the value of the collateral

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