Andrei Jikh: Interest rates will fall

Said on Oct 21, 2022, at 12:19 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“the lower rate is estimated to go down from 9.6 percent that it's at right now to about 6.48 6.5 percent”
Watch at 12:19How To SAFELY Invest $10,000 | iBonds Step By Step
PredictionInterest rateswill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

Interest ratesWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−2%0%2%4%6%201920202021202220232024Said on Oct 21, 2022
−2%0%2%4%6%2019202120222024Said on Oct 21, 2022

Federal funds target range, upper limit: Federal Reserve Board via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-FED v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-FED v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-FED v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names bond, Treasury or mortgage yields; this rule reads the Fed's policy rate only.

What was said around it

dollar yearly contribution limit if that's something you're into just remember that if you want to do this for yourself or you want to help someone else please remind them to do all of this but before October 27th because it takes some time for the funds and the account to settle and the last thing you want to do is buy in October only to realize that you got November's newer lower rates because the website took too long that has happened to people so just be aware of that but even if it does happen to you and even if you get in at that lower rate the lower rate is estimated to go down from 9.6 percent that it's at right now to about 6.48 6.5 percent which is still incredible if I could put more than ten thousand dollars even at that six point four eight percent I would because that's how good it is but even if you do end up getting that 6.48 and you sell one year later just remember you're not gonna get the full 6.48 because you have to wait five years of holding that bond to realize that full rate but even if you do sell before five years you will get all of your money back plus at least nine months of super juicy interest which in today's market is still going to be higher than you can

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