“now on the other hand redin believes that median prices will see a drop of 1% in 2024 Zillow thinks we'll see a drop of0 2% Morgan Stanley anticipates a price drop of 3% and JP Morgan believes that affordability could be resolved by the time 2027 comes around”Median house price
As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight counts 3 calls about the median house price that tracked channels made themselves, checked against the median sales price of US houses on FRED. At one year: 1 correct, 0 incorrect. The other 2 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why.
Own predictions
3
1 up · 1 down
Correct / incorrect after 1 year
1 Correct 0 Incorrect
plus 0 partly correct and 0 within band. Every call counted, repeats included.
Still open
0
Windows not yet closed
Median sales price of houses sold: U.S. Census Bureau and HUD via FRED, figures as first published. Grey bands are recessions.
Latest predictions about Median house price
5 predictions in all, newest first: 3 own, 2 relaying someone else's forecast (not scored).
“it's expected that overall the median home price in the US will grow modestly rising to $394,000 for 2024 a 1 a. half% increase over 20123”“the median price of newly built homes in the united states recently fell off a cliff and by a cliff i mean more than 10 this downward trend is more than likely to continue”Reading when said
$454,900
Aug 13, 2022
Reading at close
$431,000
Aug 13, 2023
Change
−$23,900
Median house price stood at $454,900 at the start of the window and $431,000 at Aug 13, 2023, a change of −$23,900 (MSPUS, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than $0.5 are treated as no change.
30 days
Not verifiable
90 days
Incorrect
180 days
Correct
1 year
Correct
“I think the median home price will go up by 7 to 10% I think the median home price will go from $446,000 that it's at right now up to $446,000 to4 $58,000 on the high end”Not verifiable: target off scale. The target, 7%, was recorded as a percentage, and MSPUS is a price in US dollars, so the two are not on one scale.
30 days
Not verifiable
90 days
Not verifiable
180 days
Not verifiable
1 year
Not verifiable
“i don't think the national median will become 10 million dollars but i can totally see how major cities in the us are going to become so out of reach that the average person will never be able to afford it”The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.
Questions people ask
What have finance YouTubers predicted about the median house price?
As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight counts 3 calls about the median house price that tracked channels made themselves, checked against the median sales price of US houses on FRED. At one year: 1 correct, 0 incorrect. The other 2 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why.
How is a call about the median house price checked?
Against the median sales price of US houses on FRED, using each value as it was first published rather than later revisions, at 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, by fixed rules that are the same for every channel.
Is this investment advice?
No. This is a record of what people said in public and what happened next. Nothing here tells you to buy or sell anything.