Median house price

MSPUS · levelLatest $393,300 (Jul 2026)

As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight counts 3 calls about the median house price that tracked channels made themselves, checked against the median sales price of US houses on FRED. At one year: 1 correct, 0 incorrect. The other 2 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why.

Own predictions

3

1 up · 1 down

Correct / incorrect after 1 year

1 Correct 0 Incorrect

plus 0 partly correct and 0 within band. Every call counted, repeats included.

Still open

0

Windows not yet closed

Median house price and the predictions about it

MSPUS · levelRecession (NBER)Called upCalled down

Median sales price of houses sold: U.S. Census Bureau and HUD via FRED, figures as first published. Grey bands are recessions.

The series on FRED: MSPUS

Latest predictions about Median house price

5 predictions in all, newest first: 3 own, 2 relaying someone else's forecast (not scored).

What was said
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“now on the other hand redin believes that median prices will see a drop of 1% in 2024 Zillow thinks we'll see a drop of0 2% Morgan Stanley anticipates a price drop of 3% and JP Morgan believes that affordability could be resolved by the time 2027 comes around”
Watch at 9:51How To Invest & Build Wealth For Beginners
PredictionMedian house pricewill fallby Dec 31, 2024
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the median price of newly built homes in the united states recently fell off a cliff and by a cliff i mean more than 10 this downward trend is more than likely to continue”
Watch at 6:07Housing Market Crash: It's Coming & This is WHY!!
PredictionMedian house pricewill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Reading when said

$454,900

Aug 13, 2022

Reading at close

$431,000

Aug 13, 2023

Change

−$23,900

Median house price stood at $454,900 at the start of the window and $431,000 at Aug 13, 2023, a change of −$23,900 (MSPUS, first releases). The call was that it would fall. Moves smaller than $0.5 are treated as no change.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“I think the median home price will go up by 7 to 10% I think the median home price will go from $446,000 that it's at right now up to $446,000 to4 $58,000 on the high end”
Watch at 11:44How I'm Investing In 2022
PredictionMedian house pricewill riseby Dec 31, 2022
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: target off scale. The target, 7%, was recorded as a percentage, and MSPUS is a price in US dollars, so the two are not on one scale.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“i don't think the national median will become 10 million dollars but i can totally see how major cities in the us are going to become so out of reach that the average person will never be able to afford it”
Watch at 14:20WHY 99% WILL NEVER OWN A HOME
Predictiona call with no clear direction
What happened
Not scored

The direction of this call could not be determined with confidence, so it is held out of the score.

Questions people ask

What have finance YouTubers predicted about the median house price?

As of Nov 4, 2026, Callsight counts 3 calls about the median house price that tracked channels made themselves, checked against the median sales price of US houses on FRED. At one year: 1 correct, 0 incorrect. The other 2 have no one-year verdict; each call's card says why.

How is a call about the median house price checked?

Against the median sales price of US houses on FRED, using each value as it was first published rather than later revisions, at 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, by fixed rules that are the same for every channel.

Is this investment advice?

No. This is a record of what people said in public and what happened next. Nothing here tells you to buy or sell anything.

Every count on this page includes repeats: a call made again in a later video counts again, so the counts can differ from a channel's record, which counts each distinct call once.