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Andrei Jikh: Market correction will happen

Said on Jun 1, 2022, at 13:40 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“so what we could actually be seeing is not a recovery but a false rally and these happen after the market again Falls 20 or more it comes back up it lasts for around two months on average and then the market falls again”
Watch at 13:40How To Make $100 A Day | Recession Proof
PredictionMarket correctionwill happenChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$417.39

Jun 2, 2022

Total return, dividends included

+2.8%

SPY closed at $417.39 on Jun 2, 2022. Between then and Jun 1, 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −16.7%, on Oct 12, 2022. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a correction, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that a correction would come.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Correct$417.39Jun 2, 2022—Jul 1, 2022−8.3%Total return, dividends included—
90 daysR-CRASH v4Correct$417.39Jun 2, 2022—Aug 30, 2022−4.2%Total return, dividends included—
180 daysR-CRASH v4Correct$417.39Jun 2, 2022—Nov 28, 2022−4.3%Total return, dividends included—
1 yearR-CRASH v4Correct$417.39Jun 2, 2022—Jun 1, 2023+2.8%Total return, dividends included—
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Correct$417.39Jun 2, 2022—May 30, 2025+47.5%Total return, dividends included—
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Pending——May 28, 2027——
Why: 30 days

SPY closed at $417.39 on Jun 2, 2022. Between then and Jul 1, 2022, its deepest fall from a running peak was −12.2%, on Jun 16, 2022. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a correction, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that a correction would come.

Why: 90 days

SPY closed at $417.39 on Jun 2, 2022. Between then and Aug 30, 2022, its deepest fall from a running peak was −12.2%, on Jun 16, 2022. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a correction, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that a correction would come.

Why: 180 days

SPY closed at $417.39 on Jun 2, 2022. Between then and Nov 28, 2022, its deepest fall from a running peak was −16.7%, on Oct 12, 2022. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a correction, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that a correction would come.

Why: 1 year

SPY closed at $417.39 on Jun 2, 2022. Between then and Jun 1, 2023, its deepest fall from a running peak was −16.7%, on Oct 12, 2022. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a correction, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that a correction would come.

Why: 3 years

SPY closed at $417.39 on Jun 2, 2022. Between then and May 30, 2025, its deepest fall from a running peak was −18.8%, on Apr 8, 2025. A fall of at least 10.0% counts as a correction, and at least 5.0% as partial. The call was that a correction would come.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes May 28, 2027.

What was said around it

already been priced into the market add to the fact that Papa pal has laid out the path for interest rate increases at half a percent and Mr Market is happy because anytime Mr Market can predict what's going to happen it is happy so that's a good thing now here's the reminder that I wanted to put out there because it's about those relief rallies we talked about these usually happen when the market Falls 20 or more which we've had in some indexes already and then the market starts to recover so what we could actually be seeing is not a recovery but a false rally and these happen after the market again Falls 20 or more it comes back up it lasts for around two months on average and then the market falls again and it tricks investors into investing more money because they think we're seeing the beginning of a recovery and it's another reason why I try not to invest based on timing the market because no matter how much I think I understand and no matter how much I reference historical data no one really knows it's only useful to understand the market in hindsight but we can never predict what's going to happen that's why the only strategy that is known to work time and time again is the dollar

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Graham StephanMarket correctionwill happen

“short-term, I would not be surprised if we see a 5 to 12% market drawdown just because of market uncertainty.”

Sep 3, 2026 · after 30 days

Incorrect so far · 30 days−0.2%

Graham Stephana call under review

“I tend to believe we're probably going to see some short-term panic selling, a lot of volatility, and then it's just going to slowly grind back to normal,”

Aug 3, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephana call under review

“I tend to believe we're probably going to see some short-term panic selling, a lot of volatility, and then it's just going to slowly grind back to normal,”

Aug 3, 2026

Not scored

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“as expensive as everything is, and as much as there is the possibility that something happens that we haven't accounted for here in the market drops 30% as it stands right now.”

May 4, 2026

Not scored

Coin Bureaua call under review

“That alone suggests we're nearing a local top.”

Nov 1, 2025

Not scored

Coin BureauMarket correction— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“A moderate   correction of 15 to 25% however is a much higher  probability scenario given the extreme leverage   in the system a flush out of this magnitude could  easily be triggered by some negative macro news or   a geopolitical headline.”

Oct 10, 2025 · after 1 year

Not verifiable