Joseph Carlson: AAPL will rise

Said on Jul 5, 2022, at 42:54 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“i see significant room for improvement for growth and continued higher evaluation for apple than we see right now i think this company is going to do really well over the next five years”
Watch at 42:54I Just Bought a New Dividend Stock | Joseph Carlson Ep. 253
PredictionAAPLwill riseby Jul 4, 2027
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$142.92

Jul 6, 2022

Price at close

$191.33

Jul 5, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+34.7%

S&P 500 +17.5%

AAPL closed at $142.92 on Jul 6, 2022. On Jul 5, 2023 it closed at $191.33, a total return of +34.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +17.5%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Within band

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

AAPLWindow checked
$120$140$160$180$200Jan 2022May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Sep 2023Said on Jul 5, 2022
$120$140$160$180$200Jan 2022Jul 2022Feb 2023Sep 2023Said on Jul 5, 2022

AAPL closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$142.92Jul 6, 2022$165.81Aug 4, 2022+16.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +8.1%
90 daysR-DIR v4Within band$142.92Jul 6, 2022$142.45Oct 3, 2022−0.2%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −3.9%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$142.92Jul 6, 2022$129.93Dec 30, 2022−8.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +0.7%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$142.92Jul 6, 2022$191.33Jul 5, 2023+34.7%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +17.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$142.92Jul 6, 2022$213.55Jul 3, 2025+51.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +70.2%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 2, 2027——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 2, 2027——
Why: 30 days

AAPL closed at $142.92 on Jul 6, 2022. On Aug 4, 2022 it closed at $165.81, a total return of +16.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +8.1%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

AAPL closed at $142.92 on Jul 6, 2022. On Oct 3, 2022 it closed at $142.45, a total return of −0.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −3.9%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

AAPL closed at $142.92 on Jul 6, 2022. On Dec 30, 2022 it closed at $129.93, a total return of −8.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +0.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

AAPL closed at $142.92 on Jul 6, 2022. On Jul 5, 2023 it closed at $191.33, a total return of +34.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +17.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

AAPL closed at $142.92 on Jul 6, 2022. On Jul 3, 2025 it closed at $213.55, a total return of +51.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +70.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 2, 2027.

Why: Stated deadline

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 2, 2027.

What was said around it

meaningful to consumers over time i do think there's a chance not for certain but i think there's a chance that the watch could evolve to kind of the most important central device of this company and i don't think that's being followed closely lots of people just look at apple as an iphone company and it's clearly not it's far more than just an iphone company so we'll see how that works out either way i think apple's a good investment whether or not the watch is able to incorporate all these features but i see significant room for improvement for growth and continued higher evaluation for apple than we see right now i think this company is going to do really well over the next five years so that's all for now if you want to see more real investing real updates week by week with transparency companies that i lose money on and make money on you can follow along for free by subscribing to the channel and make sure you have the bell icon on so you get notified that's all for now and i'll see you in the next

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