Joseph Carlson: AMZN will rise

Said on Jan 14, 2026, at 18:34 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“Amazon today is worth over $300 per share, but it continually trades at around 230 to 240. Now, it is going up in stock price and I believe that it will continue to over the upcoming year, but I believe investors have a very attractive entry point here today.”
Watch at 18:344 Compounding Machines To Buy Now
PredictionAMZNwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 180 days
Correct so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$238.18

Jan 15, 2026

Price at close

$247.31

Jul 13, 2026

Total return, dividends included

+3.8%

S&P 500 +8.8%

AMZN closed at $238.18 on Jan 15, 2026. On Jul 13, 2026 it closed at $247.31, a total return of +3.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +8.8%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

AMZNWindow checked
$180$200$220$240$260$280$300Jul 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 14, 2026
$150$200$250$300Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 14, 2026

AMZN closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$238.18Jan 15, 2026$198.79Feb 13, 2026−16.5%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −1.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$238.18Jan 15, 2026$249.02Apr 14, 2026+4.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +0.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$238.18Jan 15, 2026$247.31Jul 13, 2026+3.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +8.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 14, 2027——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 12, 2029——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 13, 2031——
Why: 30 days

AMZN closed at $238.18 on Jan 15, 2026. On Feb 13, 2026 it closed at $198.79, a total return of −16.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −1.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

AMZN closed at $238.18 on Jan 15, 2026. On Apr 14, 2026 it closed at $249.02, a total return of +4.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +0.6%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

AMZN closed at $238.18 on Jan 15, 2026. On Jul 13, 2026 it closed at $247.31, a total return of +3.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +8.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 14, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 12, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 13, 2031.

What was said around it

creates operating leverage and increased margins. Not only does it have fewer employees, but it has fewer work time off, fewer lawsuits, fewer employees being hurt on the job, fewer health insurance claims and bathroom breaks and so on. Employees are expensive for companies. Amazon has an enormous amount of employees. And having robotics be such a massive tailwind for this company, I believe, is something that investors will be very attracted to over the upcoming years. Amazon today is worth over $300 per share, but it continually trades at around 230 to 240. Now, it is going up in stock price and I believe that it will continue to over the upcoming year, but I believe investors have a very attractive entry point here today. In number four, we have Mastercard and for this one, I'll group it in with Visa. Both of these companies are under pressure recently as there is a new Trump social tweet where he said that he's interested in capping credit card interest rates at 10%. And this has caused a huge stir in the markets, not just for banks like JP Morgan, but also for Visa and Mastercard. Now, there's a lot of misconceptions about how Mastercard's business actually works. For one, Mastercard

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all