Joseph Carlson: AMZN will rise

Said on Jun 6, 2025, at 41:33 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“So, I think this is actually potentially huge news for Amazon. I'll be following the story. It's not the only reason to get bullish on Amazon, but I think it's one more.”
Watch at 41:33Elon And Trump Break Up - What Happens Now
PredictionAMZNwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$213.57

Jun 6, 2025

Price at close

$246.03

Jun 5, 2026

Total return, dividends included

+15.2%

S&P 500 +24.5%

AMZN closed at $213.57 on Jun 6, 2025. On Jun 5, 2026 it closed at $246.03, a total return of +15.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +24.5%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

AMZNWindow checked
$150$200$250$300Dec 2024Apr 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Aug 2026Said on Jun 6, 2025
$150$200$250$300Dec 2024Jun 2025Jan 2026Aug 2026Said on Jun 6, 2025

AMZN closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$213.57Jun 6, 2025$223.41Jul 3, 2025+4.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.7%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$213.57Jun 6, 2025$235.68Sep 4, 2025+10.4%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +8.7%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$213.57Jun 6, 2025$232.38Dec 3, 2025+8.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +14.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$213.57Jun 6, 2025$246.03Jun 5, 2026+15.2%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +24.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jun 5, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jun 5, 2030——
Why: 30 days

AMZN closed at $213.57 on Jun 6, 2025. On Jul 3, 2025 it closed at $223.41, a total return of +4.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

AMZN closed at $213.57 on Jun 6, 2025. On Sep 4, 2025 it closed at $235.68, a total return of +10.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +8.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

AMZN closed at $213.57 on Jun 6, 2025. On Dec 3, 2025 it closed at $232.38, a total return of +8.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +14.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

AMZN closed at $213.57 on Jun 6, 2025. On Jun 5, 2026 it closed at $246.03, a total return of +15.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +24.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 5, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 5, 2030.

What was said around it

technology has been very strong very good for a long time period. We can make the hydraulics and we can make the machines work well. The difficult part is the software. But AI is helping to solve the software equation. Amazon can infuse the physical hardware with their AI models, train it on how to do these deliveries, how to make it from the van and walk up to the porch, not run into anything, not bump into anything, have lots of safety protocols in the process, and in doing so raise the margins of the company. So, I think this is actually potentially huge news for Amazon. I'll be following the story. It's not the only reason to get bullish on Amazon, but I think it's one more. That's going to be it for this episode. See you in the next.

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