Joseph Carlson: SBUX will outperform

Said on Sep 30, 2022, at 22:40 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I think overall the total return of Starbucks is going to be Market beating over the next 5 years”
Watch at 22:40This Is When I'll Buy These Companies | Joseph Carlson Ep. 275
PredictionSBUXwill outperformby Sep 29, 2027
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

SBUXWindow checked
$60$70$80$90$100$110$120202220232024202520262027Said on Sep 30, 2022
$60$80$100$1202022202420252027Said on Sep 30, 2022

SBUX closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-REL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-REL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-REL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-REL v4Not verifiable————
Stated deadlineR-REL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

Why: Stated deadline

Not verifiable: comparison not supported. A call that one asset will beat another is not checked yet, and it is not judged as a plain rise or fall.

What was said around it

cold beverages these caffeinated cold beverages I really think they're going to be able to keep up this 15% or above free Cashel growth rate a starting 3% yield with a 15% free Cashel growth rate should give returns of above 12% per year and I think they'll be able to do that for years out in the future so for for me Starbucks is currently a buy I think the company will continue to grow at PACE I think their China business will eventually recover and I think their dividend will grow at around 8 to 10% per year on top of the capital appreciation so I think overall the total return of Starbucks is going to be Market beating over the next 5 years now next up moving away from Starbucks we can go into the financial category we have JP Morgan Chase here at a holding value of $117,000 I currently think that JP Morgan is trading somewhere close close to undervalued range at around $100 a share is where I put the range of being undervalued fair value I put at 140 and overv value I put at 170 right now it's trading at 106 banks are one of the few categories of companies where I don't use normal valuation metrics I don't look at the PE ratio of the company I don't look at the free cashow yield of

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