Joseph Carlson: GOOGL will rise

Said on Feb 28, 2024, at 21:57 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“so as of right now I'm still bullish on Google I think this is a fixable problem”
Watch at 21:57Apple Gives Up On The Apple Car
PredictionGOOGLwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$136.38

Feb 28, 2024

Price at close

$168.50

Feb 27, 2025

Total return, dividends included

+24.0%

S&P 500 +17.0%

GOOGL closed at $136.38 on Feb 28, 2024. On Feb 27, 2025 it closed at $168.50, a total return of +24.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +17.0%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

GOOGLWindow checked
$100$120$140$160$180$200$220Sep 2023Dec 2023Apr 2024Aug 2024Dec 2024Apr 2025Said on Feb 28, 2024
$100$150$200$250Sep 2023Mar 2024Oct 2024Apr 2025Said on Feb 28, 2024

GOOGL closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$136.38Feb 28, 2024$150.93Mar 28, 2024+10.7%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.6%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$136.38Feb 28, 2024$176.40May 28, 2024+29.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +5.0%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$136.38Feb 28, 2024$166.16Aug 26, 2024+22.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +11.5%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$136.38Feb 28, 2024$168.50Feb 27, 2025+24.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +17.0%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 26, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 26, 2029——
Why: 30 days

GOOGL closed at $136.38 on Feb 28, 2024. On Mar 28, 2024 it closed at $150.93, a total return of +10.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.6%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

GOOGL closed at $136.38 on Feb 28, 2024. On May 28, 2024 it closed at $176.40, a total return of +29.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +5.0%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

GOOGL closed at $136.38 on Feb 28, 2024. On Aug 26, 2024 it closed at $166.16, a total return of +22.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +11.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

GOOGL closed at $136.38 on Feb 28, 2024. On Feb 27, 2025 it closed at $168.50, a total return of +24.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +17.0%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 26, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 26, 2029.

What was said around it

move last and break things or they should be slower and they should be more responsible but being last and still breaking things is not the answer so as of right now after this big of a debacle on their initial release Sunder pachai is in the hot seat and he knows it the pressure's on he needs to get this next release correct so I expect big things out of Google I think that this is a fixable problem they still can regain Trust of people if they show that they can iterate adapt and make this thing better because the first release of it was not impressive so as of right now I'm still bullish on Google I think this is a fixable problem now moving on we get to the news that Wendy's was apparently experimenting with surge pricing this blew up it went all over online and it even found its way onto different talk shows like Late Night with Seth Meers the fast food chain Wendy's has announced it'll experiment with a new surge pricing menu next year so a burger May cost a dollar more during the lunch rush and $40 more at 3:00 a.m. we know you want it where else you going to go I don't know who's writing these jokes but it is true that Wendy's was experimenting with surge pricing this blew up

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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