Joseph Carlson: GOOGL will rise to $200.00

Said on Apr 25, 2025, at 18:52 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“Even noting the long-term uncertainty that remains with a new competitive dynamic, I still continue to believe that Google is undervalued today. The stock is worth more than $200.”
Watch at 18:52Google Is The Next eBay, According To Analysts
PredictionGOOGLwill rise to $200.00Checked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$161.96

Apr 25, 2025

Price at close

$344.40

Apr 24, 2026

Return

+112.6%

GOOGL was $161.96 on Apr 25, 2025. The target was $200.00. Between then and Apr 24, 2026 the high was $349.00, so the level was reached.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Partly correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

GOOGLWindow checkedTarget named
$100$150$200$250$300$350$400$450Oct 2024Feb 2025Jun 2025Oct 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Target $200.00Said on Apr 25, 2025
$100$200$300$400$500Oct 2024May 2025Dec 2025Jun 2026Target $200.00Said on Apr 25, 2025

GOOGL closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-PT v4Incorrect$161.96Apr 25, 2025$168.47May 23, 2025+4.0%—
90 daysR-PT v4Partly correct$161.96Apr 25, 2025$192.17Jul 24, 2025+18.7%—
180 daysR-PT v4Correct$161.96Apr 25, 2025$251.69Oct 22, 2025+55.4%—
1 yearR-PT v4Correct$161.96Apr 25, 2025$344.40Apr 24, 2026+112.6%—
3 yearsR-PT v4Pending——Apr 24, 2028——
5 yearsR-PT v4Pending——Apr 24, 2030——
Why: 30 days

GOOGL was $161.96 on Apr 25, 2025. The target was $200.00. Between then and May 23, 2025 the high was $176.77, so the level was not reached.

Why: 90 days

GOOGL was $161.96 on Apr 25, 2025. The target was $200.00. Between then and Jul 24, 2025 the high was $197.95, so the level was not reached.

Why: 180 days

GOOGL was $161.96 on Apr 25, 2025. The target was $200.00. Between then and Oct 22, 2025 the high was $257.33, so the level was reached.

Why: 1 year

GOOGL was $161.96 on Apr 25, 2025. The target was $200.00. Between then and Apr 24, 2026 the high was $349.00, so the level was reached.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 24, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 24, 2030.

What was said around it

their AI models into every facet of their business. Simply put, as of this most recent quarter, as of today, there is currently no quantitative or qualitative evidence that Google's core search business is being eroded. There is none. Revenue is up, engagement is high, advertiser demand remains strong. Google is incorporating AI defensively and offensively. Does Chat GBT present a risk down the road? Certainly, as does any new competitor to any company. But we don't see any of that weighing on Google today. Even noting the long-term uncertainty that remains with a new competitive dynamic, I still continue to believe that Google is undervalued today. The stock is worth more than $200. Considering the competitive dynamics and the strength that Google has shown in the face of it and the different properties this company owns from Whimo to YouTube to cloud, this company has many tools to grow its earnings, many tools to return a lot of cash flow to shareholders. And I believe this one will eventually get back up above $200 per share. This earnings report should have made investors incrementally more bullish and have a sigh of relief with many of the narratives being shared. Now moving on,

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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