Joseph Carlson: GOOGL will rise

Said on Sep 3, 2025, at 18:45 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I think that Google will continue to go higher.”
Watch at 18:45Google Just Won Its Case - What Investors Should Do Now
PredictionGOOGLwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$230.66

Sep 3, 2025

Price at close

$342.48

Sep 3, 2026

Total return, dividends included

+48.9%

S&P 500 +21.4%

GOOGL closed at $230.66 on Sep 3, 2025. On Sep 3, 2026 it closed at $342.48, a total return of +48.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +21.4%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

GOOGLWindow checked
$100$150$200$250$300$350$400$450Mar 2025Jul 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Said on Sep 3, 2025
$100$200$300$400$500Mar 2025Sep 2025Apr 2026Nov 2026Said on Sep 3, 2025

GOOGL closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$230.66Sep 3, 2025$245.35Oct 3, 2025+6.5%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.2%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$230.66Sep 3, 2025$315.81Dec 2, 2025+37.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +6.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$230.66Sep 3, 2025$306.52Mar 2, 2026+33.1%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +7.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$230.66Sep 3, 2025$342.48Sep 3, 2026+48.9%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +21.4%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 1, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Aug 30, 2030——
Why: 30 days

GOOGL closed at $230.66 on Sep 3, 2025. On Oct 3, 2025 it closed at $245.35, a total return of +6.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

GOOGL closed at $230.66 on Sep 3, 2025. On Dec 2, 2025 it closed at $315.81, a total return of +37.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +6.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

GOOGL closed at $230.66 on Sep 3, 2025. On Mar 2, 2026 it closed at $306.52, a total return of +33.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

GOOGL closed at $230.66 on Sep 3, 2025. On Sep 3, 2026 it closed at $342.48, a total return of +48.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +21.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 1, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 30, 2030.

What was said around it

actually growing into a much bigger position. Now, it's a $75,000 holding in the tech category in the passive income portfolio. Now, $17,000 of gains. Around 6,000 of this gains is just from today. In the story fund, I also have Google as one of my six positions here. Google's now a $49,000 position with $26,000 in the green and again another three or $4,000 of that being just today. So overall just today Google's up around $10,000 in my portfolio. Not a bad day. So congratulations to every Google investor. You won and I don't think you're going to stop winning at this point. I think that Google will continue to go higher. Now at the same time that we celebrate winning in this case, there's some people that are upset that Google wasn't punished more severely. that the judge didn't rip apart Google. Here's Jonathan Caner saying that this was a missed opportunity to change the markets. >> Yeah, it is disappointing. I think again I think the court really had the opportunity to do something transformative here. Um and the decision that the court issued uh a number of months ago was quite bold and it gave the court a lot of discretion to impose a remedy that uh didn't give Google the benefit of

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