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Joseph Carlson: AAPL will rise

Said on Mar 30, 2022, at 1:44 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“although this company's gone up in price and i'm still bullish on it i'm not doing any more buys at the current price”
Watch at 1:44I Just Bought A New Stock
PredictionAAPLwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$177.77

Mar 30, 2022

Price at close

$162.36

Mar 30, 2023

Total return, dividends included

−8.1%

S&P 500 −10.5%

AAPL closed at $177.77 on Mar 30, 2022. On Mar 30, 2023 it closed at $162.36, a total return of −8.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.5%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

AAPLWindow checked
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 2021Jan 2022May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Said on Mar 30, 2022
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 2021Apr 2022Nov 2022May 2023Said on Mar 30, 2022

AAPL closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$177.77Mar 30, 2022$157.65Apr 29, 2022−11.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −10.2%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$177.77Mar 30, 2022$137.44Jun 28, 2022−22.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −16.7%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$177.77Mar 30, 2022$150.77Sep 26, 2022−14.9%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −19.9%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$177.77Mar 30, 2022$162.36Mar 30, 2023−8.1%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −10.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$177.77Mar 30, 2022$217.90Mar 28, 2025+24.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +26.6%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 29, 2027——
Why: 30 days

AAPL closed at $177.77 on Mar 30, 2022. On Apr 29, 2022 it closed at $157.65, a total return of −11.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

AAPL closed at $177.77 on Mar 30, 2022. On Jun 28, 2022 it closed at $137.44, a total return of −22.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −16.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

AAPL closed at $177.77 on Mar 30, 2022. On Sep 26, 2022 it closed at $150.77, a total return of −14.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −19.9%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

AAPL closed at $177.77 on Mar 30, 2022. On Mar 30, 2023 it closed at $162.36, a total return of −8.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

AAPL closed at $177.77 on Mar 30, 2022. On Mar 28, 2025 it closed at $217.90, a total return of +24.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +26.6%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 29, 2027.

What was said around it

three point nine five percent that beats out the s p 500 a lot of companies in my portfolio have been on incredibly good runs we have my biggest position apple that's up almost 20 percent in just the past 15 days that is an incredibly good run and i'm now at almost 25 000 in gains apple is a massive free cash flow generative company that does incredible amounts of buybacks it pays a dividend as a wide moat has great brand value and a lot of other things that i like in this company the valuation is moving up to a less attractive period so although this company's gone up in price and i'm still bullish on it i'm not doing any more buys at the current price i was buying apple when it was 90 a share and then when it dipped back down from 150 to 125 so my buys were at 90 and 125. another company my portfolio that i consider to be top quality one of the best companies in the world that's on a significant run is costco costco is another company that justifies the odds this one goes up like anti-gravity it goes up like a rocket it never seems to stop in the past one year costco is up 65 65 in the past trailing year consider the fact that that's about the same returns as tesla tesla has a 72 return

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph CarlsonAAPLwill rise

“that should be enough to continue to grow the stock price in the future”

Sep 6, 2024 · after 1 year

Correct+9.0%

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I don't believe this is a long-term problem for the stock this seems like a temporary issue now we also got some breaking news that adobe and figma call off their $20 billion acquisition because of”

Dec 18, 2023

Not scored

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I was buying the company at $90 per share and 120 and if we do get a dip in the company, I'll buy more of it. But as of right now, I consider Apple a hold.”

Nov 2, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonAAPLwill rise

“Right now I think it's mostly fair valued. I think the stock has more upside in it, but with the holding that I have already, I'm not in a position where I want to go out and buy a lot”

Nov 2, 2023 · after 1 year

Correct+26.8%

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I still remain incredibly positive and bullish on this company”

Sep 19, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonAAPLwill outperform

“if I have to pick the overall winner of who I think would dominate this Market my vote still stands with apple I think”

Jun 9, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable