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Joseph Carlson: AAPL will rise

Said on Oct 28, 2022, at 10:06 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I continue to believe that they're both going to grow in total revenue and profitability I think we're going to see their free cash flow continue to increase over time”
Watch at 10:06Apple Just Revealed Their Secret Weapon | Joseph Carlson Ep. 183
PredictionAAPLwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$155.74

Oct 28, 2022

Price at close

$168.22

Oct 27, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+8.7%

S&P 500 +7.2%

AAPL closed at $155.74 on Oct 28, 2022. On Oct 27, 2023 it closed at $168.22, a total return of +8.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.2%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

AAPLWindow checked
$120$140$160$180$200$220May 2022Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Dec 2023Said on Oct 28, 2022
$120$140$160$180$200$220May 2022Nov 2022Jun 2023Dec 2023Said on Oct 28, 2022

AAPL closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$155.74Oct 28, 2022$148.11Nov 25, 2022−4.7%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +3.4%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$155.74Oct 28, 2022$143.96Jan 26, 2023−7.4%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.5%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$155.74Oct 28, 2022$163.76Apr 26, 2023+5.5%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$155.74Oct 28, 2022$168.22Oct 27, 2023+8.7%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +7.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$155.74Oct 28, 2022$268.81Oct 27, 2025+75.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +83.5%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 27, 2027——
Why: 30 days

AAPL closed at $155.74 on Oct 28, 2022. On Nov 25, 2022 it closed at $148.11, a total return of −4.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +3.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

AAPL closed at $155.74 on Oct 28, 2022. On Jan 26, 2023 it closed at $143.96, a total return of −7.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

AAPL closed at $155.74 on Oct 28, 2022. On Apr 26, 2023 it closed at $163.76, a total return of +5.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

AAPL closed at $155.74 on Oct 28, 2022. On Oct 27, 2023 it closed at $168.22, a total return of +8.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

AAPL closed at $155.74 on Oct 28, 2022. On Oct 27, 2025 it closed at $268.81, a total return of +75.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +83.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 27, 2027.

What was said around it

of right now my investing thesis Remains the exact same as since the day I started Apple creates the highest quality devices in the market I think they create the highest quality laptops phones tablets and audio devices the tech that they make is second to none an apple continues to hit on all fronts on top of that story of Hardware they have their ecosystem of their server Services growing like crazy and now they're starting to finally Flex the pricing power even though Apple's a massive company at 2.4 trillion I continue to believe that they're both going to grow in total revenue and profitability I think we're going to see their free cash flow continue to increase over time in my opinion I don't see any competitive threat to Apple and the only thing I see is a real concern is the government but outside of that one risk factor I feel like this is still a very strong investment especially at a 24 Ford p e ratio 4.47 free cash flow yield I still feel like this company's good value so as of right now I'm still holding Apple I'm not going to be selling a single share next up we have Texas Roadhouse's earnings this is a place you go if you want a massive meal and a loud atmosphere now when

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph CarlsonAAPLwill rise

“that should be enough to continue to grow the stock price in the future”

Sep 6, 2024 · after 1 year

Correct+9.0%

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I don't believe this is a long-term problem for the stock this seems like a temporary issue now we also got some breaking news that adobe and figma call off their $20 billion acquisition because of”

Dec 18, 2023

Not scored

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I was buying the company at $90 per share and 120 and if we do get a dip in the company, I'll buy more of it. But as of right now, I consider Apple a hold.”

Nov 2, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonAAPLwill rise

“Right now I think it's mostly fair valued. I think the stock has more upside in it, but with the holding that I have already, I'm not in a position where I want to go out and buy a lot”

Nov 2, 2023 · after 1 year

Correct+26.8%

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I still remain incredibly positive and bullish on this company”

Sep 19, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonAAPLwill outperform

“if I have to pick the overall winner of who I think would dominate this Market my vote still stands with apple I think”

Jun 9, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable