Joseph Carlson: GOOGL — a company event

Said on Nov 8, 2022, at 12:44 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“I think there's a very high chance that we'll see similar layoffs with Google in time I think similar to meta right now Google overhired and they're going to be cutting back”
Watch at 12:44The Employee Bubble of 2022 Is Finally Popping | Joseph Carlson Ep. 285
PredictionGOOGL— a company eventChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: no rule for claim type. There is no verification rule for this kind of claim yet.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

GOOGLWindow checked
$80$100$120$140$160May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Sep 2023Jan 2024Said on Nov 8, 2022
$80$100$120$140$160May 2022Nov 2022Jun 2023Jan 2024Said on Nov 8, 2022

GOOGL closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-DIR v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-DIR v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-DIR v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-DIR v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-DIR v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: no rule for claim type. There is no verification rule for this kind of claim yet.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: no rule for claim type. There is no verification rule for this kind of claim yet.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: no rule for claim type. There is no verification rule for this kind of claim yet.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: no rule for claim type. There is no verification rule for this kind of claim yet.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: no rule for claim type. There is no verification rule for this kind of claim yet.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: no rule for claim type. There is no verification rule for this kind of claim yet.

What was said around it

actually a faster growth rate than their overall free cash flow so they are growing their expenses faster than their free cash flows and now it's gotten to the point where their employee expense makes up a third of their total free cash flow for example last quarter Google had 16 billion dollars in free cash flow and 5 billion dollars in stock based compensation this is an incredible amount of stock based compensation that's eating up a lot of these free cash flows and that leaves a lot less money for the investor I think there's a very high chance that we'll see similar layoffs with Google in time I think similar to meta right now Google overhired and they're going to be cutting back the other example we could look at is Amazon they likewise increase their Workforce by over double since 2019. we look at the stock based compensation of this company you can see the clear Trend there it's going up over time at a very rapid rate while their cash flows go into the negative last quarter they had minus five billion dollars in free cash flow and their stock based compensation was a record high 5.5 billion dollars that's for one quarter not for the full year this is problematic for Amazon shareholders

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all