Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Suy thoái sẽ xảy ra

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Chỉ báo suy thoái theo mốc của NBER: Ngân hàng Dự trữ Liên bang St. Louis, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

simultaneously project a more gradual increase in the unemployment rate which could last until as late as 2025. that would be a long recession now the Silver Lining is that the FED also projects that housing costs will finally start to come down later this year and they're confident that inflation of all kinds will come down by 2025. this of course assumes that nothing in the financial system will break but it appears they didn't dwell on this possibility instead they focused on the fact that inflation is more likely to rise than fall in the short term and how the fed's response is likely to result in a recession in the U.S later this year this has been the consensus view for months now the only question is how deep this recession will be and how long it will last in the fifth section of the minutes fed officials return to the topic of current economic conditions fed officials seem to imply that the reason why they believe inflation is more likely to increase than decrease is not because of the tight labor market but because of the pandemic and the Ukraine war in case you missed the memo we're still technically in a pandemic and remaining restrictions continue to choke Supply chains the

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