Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Fannie Mae: Suy thoái sẽ xảy ra

Được nói ngày 04/05/2022, tại 4:35 trong video.

Lời nói
Graham Stephan

@grahamstephan

“as Fannie Mae concludes it's a lot more likely that we're going to see what they call a hard Landing right as the FED signals that they're about to be much more aggressive than they have been in the past in fact they even go so far as to say that we believe enough has now changed over the past couple months to expect this eventual downturn by the end of 2023”
Xem tại 4:35THE FED JUST HIKED RATES *AGAIN* | Major Changes Explained
Dự đoánSuy thoáisẽ xảy ra
Kiểm chứng
Dẫn lời

Dẫn theo Fannie Mae — không chấm

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Suy thoáiKhung kiểm chứngSuy thoái (NBER)
−0.200.20.40.60.811.2201920202021202120222023Nói ngày 04/05/2022
−0.500.511.52019202020222023Nói ngày 04/05/2022

Chỉ báo suy thoái theo mốc của NBER: Ngân hàng Dự trữ Liên bang St. Louis, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian

Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợi

Dẫn theo Fannie Mae — không chấm

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

the air and as of now that is the federal reserve's goal the plane not the glass I want to make that clear in a perfect world the Federal Reserve could slowly increase interest rates inflation would gradually begin to decline and then the economy could shake it off like Taylor Swift but they don't have the best track record of doing that out of the previous 13 rate height Cycles 10 of them have preceded a recession and as Fannie Mae concludes it's a lot more likely that we're going to see what they call a hard Landing right as the FED signals that they're about to be much more aggressive than they have been in the past in fact they even go so far as to say that we believe enough has now changed over the past couple months to expect this eventual downturn by the end of 2023 with inflation continuing to rise the Federal Reserve has all but confirmed that we're likely to see an upcoming 50 basis point rate hike in May and some of the more aggressive fed members even suggest the 75 basis point rate hike to get it out of the way the goal in the short term is to achieve What's called the neutral interest rate which is a rate that neither Sparks nor hurts growth it's just neutral and to make

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