Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Feb 6, 2025, at 16:50 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“this sounds like a rather throwaway comment because the price of BTC will likely be much higher in 5 to 10 years”
Watch at 16:50Bitcoin: The Next Gold? Why Nations Are Eyeing BTC Reserves!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$96,554

Feb 6, 2025

Price at close

$70,580

Feb 6, 2026

Return

−26.9%

S&P 500 +15.2%

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Feb 6, 2026 it closed at $70,580, a return of −26.9%. SPY returned +15.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Within band

180 days

Correct

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2024Dec 2024Apr 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Said on Feb 6, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2024Feb 2025Sep 2025Apr 2026Said on Feb 6, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$96,554Feb 6, 2025$86,222Mar 8, 2025−10.7%S&P 500 −5.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Within band$96,554Feb 6, 2025$97,031May 7, 2025+0.5%S&P 500 −7.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$96,554Feb 6, 2025$114,130Aug 5, 2025+18.2%S&P 500 +4.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$96,554Feb 6, 2025$70,580Feb 6, 2026−26.9%S&P 500 +15.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 6, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 5, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Mar 8, 2025 it closed at $86,222, a return of −10.7%. SPY returned −5.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On May 7, 2025 it closed at $97,031, a return of +0.5%. SPY returned −7.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Aug 5, 2025 it closed at $114,130, a return of +18.2%. SPY returned +4.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Feb 6, 2026 it closed at $70,580, a return of −26.9%. SPY returned +15.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 6, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 5, 2030.

What was said around it

as a landmark development in crypto history amidst all the Bitcoin related excitement of late one minority party lawmaker asked Russia's finance minister to consider the creation of a strategic BTC reserve the minister Anton s ianov said the government had no immediate plans for this but notably didn't rule out the idea in principle the Crux of sano's argument was basically that BTC has already pumped a whole lot and buying right now would incur significant downside risk he concluded quote we'll see where things stand in 5 to 10 years now this sounds like a rather throwaway comment because the price of BTC will likely be much higher in 5 to 10 years still we take his point he's not opposed to a BTC Reserve in principle but wants to be prudent about it rather than foming into a local top so that's a not now but maybe later from Russia then we have Brazil where a lawmaker introduced a bill resembling Senator lumus Bitcoin act to the National Congress in November 2024 Congressman Eros bondini proposal to create a strategic Bitcoin Reserve called rbit would have the Central Bank accumulate BTC until makes up 5% of Brazil's national reserves this would be around $8.6 billion worth of bitcoin

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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