Coin Bureau, relaying another source: BTC will rise

The window it was checked over

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

What was said around it

has just broken below it for the first time. In every previous cycle, that line marked the bottom or sat extremely close to it. And the MVRV ratio is around 1.1. In the cheap zone, but not yet at the level that historically confirms a true bottom. Meanwhile, there's quite a spread when it comes to what some of the analysts out there are saying. 10X Research calls 54,000 to 57,000. The options market is pricing support near 52,000 and the bearish historical fractals point all the way down to 30,000 to 38,000. And when it comes to timing, a striking number of independent analysts converge on the same window, Q4 2026 as the highest probability bottom. That lines up both with the 12-to-15-month post-peak pattern and the post-halving cycle. So, the bottom could be getting near, which would of course mean that the green shoots of recovery aren't far behind. That said, however, the classic capitulation signals haven't all fired yet. MVRV at 1.1 hasn't broken below 1.0, the level that marked every definitive bottom in 2015, 2018, and 2022. The Puell Multiple hasn't hit its deep extremes, and long-term holder spent output profit ratio at 0.88 is painful, but it hasn't reached the 0.66 readings

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.