Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $25,728 on Jun 5, 2023. On Jul 5, 2023 it closed at $30,505, a return of +18.6%. SPY returned +4.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $25,728 on Jun 5, 2023. On Sep 3, 2023 it closed at $25,971, a return of +0.9%. SPY returned +6.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $25,728 on Jun 5, 2023. On Dec 2, 2023 it closed at $39,450, a return of +53.3%. SPY returned +8.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $25,728 on Jun 5, 2023. On Jun 4, 2024 it closed at $70,538, a return of +174.2%. SPY returned +25.5% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
BTC closed at $25,728 on Jun 5, 2023. On Jun 4, 2026 it closed at $63,886, a return of +148.3%. SPY returned +84.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 3, 2028.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $25,728 on Jun 5, 2023. On Jun 12, 2023 it closed at $25,905, a return of +0.7%. SPY returned +1.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.