Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Feb 13, 2023, at 20:00 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“history generally does show us that we will likely see multiple of these golden crosses and death crosses on The Daily time frame you know probably for the next 12 to 18 months or so before we actually get into a rally that is is is likely to take us new all-time highs”
Watch at 20:00Crypto News: SEC, BUSD, BTC Death Cross, CBDCs & MORE!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$21,774

Feb 13, 2023

Price at close

$49,700

Feb 13, 2024

Return

+128.3%

S&P 500 +21.5%

BTC closed at $21,774 on Feb 13, 2023. On Feb 13, 2024 it closed at $49,700, a return of +128.3%. SPY returned +21.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Dec 2023Apr 2024Said on Feb 13, 2023
$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000Aug 2022Mar 2023Sep 2023Apr 2024Said on Feb 13, 2023

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$21,774Feb 13, 2023$24,286Mar 15, 2023+11.5%S&P 500 −5.7%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$21,774Feb 13, 2023$26,918May 14, 2023+23.6%S&P 500 +0.1%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$21,774Feb 13, 2023$29,430Aug 12, 2023+35.2%S&P 500 +8.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$21,774Feb 13, 2023$49,700Feb 13, 2024+128.3%S&P 500 +21.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$21,774Feb 13, 2023$66,272Feb 12, 2026+204.4%S&P 500 +71.7%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 12, 2028——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $21,774 on Feb 13, 2023. On Mar 15, 2023 it closed at $24,286, a return of +11.5%. SPY returned −5.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $21,774 on Feb 13, 2023. On May 14, 2023 it closed at $26,918, a return of +23.6%. SPY returned +0.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $21,774 on Feb 13, 2023. On Aug 12, 2023 it closed at $29,430, a return of +35.2%. SPY returned +8.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $21,774 on Feb 13, 2023. On Feb 13, 2024 it closed at $49,700, a return of +128.3%. SPY returned +21.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $21,774 on Feb 13, 2023. On Feb 12, 2026 it closed at $66,272, a return of +204.4%. SPY returned +71.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 12, 2028.

What was said around it

second cycle during that recovery year we actually had two golden crosses right two golden crosses before the bull run to new highs and in the third cycle so the third recovery year you can actually see we had three golden crosses before we actually had a move to New all-time highs so yes it's always nice to see a golden cross and it's certainly at least a progression from from sort of the down only year that we had in 2022 but just to keep our expectations in check history generally does show us that we will likely see multiple of these golden crosses and death crosses on The Daily time frame you know probably for the next 12 to 18 months or so before we actually get into a rally that is is is likely to take us new all-time highs so just something to consider and then of course there's the the elephant in the room is is we've had a weekly death cross for the first time so this is the first time the 50-week SMA has crossed below the 200 week estimate and frankly we no one really knows exactly what it means because well it's never really happened before so we can speculate of course uh if you take a look at the S P 500 it's usually not the best sign in the world but forever every you know

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