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Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Jul 13, 2025, at 20:28 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“there's no denying that the institutional   adoption of Bitcoin is enormously bullish.”
Watch at 20:28Massive Corporate Bitcoin Accumulation: Good or Bad?
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$119,087

Jul 13, 2025

Price at close

$62,335

Jul 13, 2026

Return

−47.7%

S&P 500 +21.2%

BTC closed at $119,087 on Jul 13, 2025. On Jul 13, 2026 it closed at $62,335, a return of −47.7%. SPY returned +21.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jan 2025May 2025Sep 2025Jan 2026May 2026Sep 2026Said on Jul 13, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jan 2025Aug 2025Feb 2026Sep 2026Said on Jul 13, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$119,087Jul 13, 2025$120,134Aug 12, 2025+0.9%S&P 500 +2.9%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$119,087Jul 13, 2025$110,644Oct 11, 2025−7.1%S&P 500 +4.8%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$119,087Jul 13, 2025$90,641Jan 9, 2026−23.9%S&P 500 +11.7%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$119,087Jul 13, 2025$62,335Jul 13, 2026−47.7%S&P 500 +21.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 12, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 12, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $119,087 on Jul 13, 2025. On Aug 12, 2025 it closed at $120,134, a return of +0.9%. SPY returned +2.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $119,087 on Jul 13, 2025. On Oct 11, 2025 it closed at $110,644, a return of −7.1%. SPY returned +4.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $119,087 on Jul 13, 2025. On Jan 9, 2026 it closed at $90,641, a return of −23.9%. SPY returned +11.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $119,087 on Jul 13, 2025. On Jul 13, 2026 it closed at $62,335, a return of −47.7%. SPY returned +21.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 12, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 12, 2030.

What was said around it

panic to spark   the next bare market. Yikes. The other risk  is more obvious, and that's Bitcoin's growing   supply concentration. Simply put, if any major  holder dumps their massive BTC stash, it could   crash the price. And this has sparked concerns  that this increased centralization clashes with   Bitcoin's core principles. However, it's important  to remember that Bitcoin's protocol doesn't limit   how much BTC any one entity can hold, and its  price going down wouldn't destroy Bitcoin,   as history has shown time and time again. In any  case, there's no denying that the institutional   adoption of Bitcoin is enormously bullish. And  as Bitcoin reaches new all-time highs, it seems   that Bitcoin dominance could finally finally begin  to fall. And this means that all eyes are on the   altcoin market, which is long overdue for a major  rally of its own. So, uh, buckle up, folks. It   might be about to get wild. Okay. If you enjoyed  that video, you'll love our latest one, which   you can watch right over here. And if you're not  subscribed to the channel, you can do that right   over here. This is me for now. Thank you guys very  much for watching, and I'll see you again soon.

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

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Jul 21, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+23.1%

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“This is the foundation for a steady bull market as regulatory certainty finally arrives and the”

Jul 21, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+23.1%

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“I actually don't think now is the worst time to buy, especially with sentiment being so negative right now.”

Jun 29, 2026

Not scored

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: BTC will rise

“a striking number of independent analysts converge on the same window, Q4 2026 as the highest probability bottom.”

Jun 29, 2026

Relayed

Coin BureauBTCwill rise

“So today, I'm going to break down exactly what the   CFTC approved, walk through why this is generally  bullish for crypto and for hype in the short term,   and lay out why this same decision is actually  a warning shot aimed straight at Hyperlquid.”

Jun 23, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+38.1%

Coin Bureau, relaying Alex Thorn: BTC will fall to $40,000

“Galaxy's Alex Thorn even floats a panic scenario down at 40 to $46,000.”

Jun 21, 2026

Relayed