Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $45,498 on Apr 5, 2022. On May 5, 2022 it closed at $36,553, a return of −19.7%. SPY returned −8.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $45,498 on Apr 5, 2022. On Jul 4, 2022 it closed at $20,237, a return of −55.5%. SPY returned −15.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $45,498 on Apr 5, 2022. On Oct 2, 2022 it closed at $19,057, a return of −58.1%. SPY returned −20.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $45,498 on Apr 5, 2022. On Apr 5, 2023 it closed at $28,170, a return of −38.1%. SPY returned −8.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
BTC closed at $45,498 on Apr 5, 2022. On Apr 4, 2025 it closed at $83,890, a return of +84.4%. SPY returned +17.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 4, 2027.