Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

The window it was checked over

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

What was said around it

looks very different. Uh there was a big first leg higher in late 2020 and early 2021, followed by a big crash and then a second big leg higher in late 2021. In our view, this big first leg higher could have been because new retail investors started arriving earlier than the 2017 cycle just because they had more time to pay attention to crypto during the pandemic. It's a similar story this time around with early investors arriving much earlier than in previous cycles because they're more familiar with the 4-year cycle. As for those new retail investors, well, uh, history suggests they won't arrive until that 2 to 3 month parabolic phase sometime over the summer of this year. But all the early investors assume they would arrive in late 2024 just because that's when they arrived in the last cycle. Put simply, this cycle feels different because early investors arrived earlier than usual because they were familiar with the 4-year cycle and expected new retail investors to arrive earlier than usual because that's what happened in the 2021 cycle. The result is that these early investors have been gradually selling out of the altcoins they mostly bought in early 2024, creating the disconnect that

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.