Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Jan 6, 2026, at 18:42 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“When you remember that crypto lags liquidity by  3 months, you understand there could be a small   rally sometime in Q1 2026.”
Watch at 18:42The Truth About The Gold-Bitcoin Rotation
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 180 days
Incorrect so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$93,748

Jan 6, 2026

Price at close

$63,650

Jul 5, 2026

Return

−32.1%

S&P 500 +8.2%

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +8.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jul 2025Oct 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 6, 2026
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 6, 2026

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$93,748Jan 6, 2026$62,910Feb 5, 2026−32.9%S&P 500 −2.1%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$93,748Jan 6, 2026$68,854Apr 6, 2026−26.6%S&P 500 −4.5%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$93,748Jan 6, 2026$63,650Jul 5, 2026−32.1%S&P 500 +8.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 6, 2027——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 5, 2029——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 5, 2031——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Feb 5, 2026 it closed at $62,910, a return of −32.9%. SPY returned −2.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Apr 6, 2026 it closed at $68,854, a return of −26.6%. SPY returned −4.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +8.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 6, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 5, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 5, 2031.

What was said around it

a bit complicated. You see as   illuminating as the liquidity models from Michael  Howell and others are they don't factor in   injections of liquidity which were unexpected like  for instance lastminute stimulus. As most of you   will know, the Fed started buying US bonds at the  start of December 2025, which it insists is not   quantitative easing. Despite what the Fed insists  though, this does amount to a liquidity injection   and the draw down of the Treasury General account  since November is another tailwind for liquidity.   When you remember that crypto lags liquidity by  3 months, you understand there could be a small   rally sometime in Q1 2026. And when you combine  this increase in liquidity with the potential   approval of the Clarity Act, it means that  attention and capital could rotate into the crypto   market. The approval of the Genius Act in 2025 was  essentially the only bullish crypto catalyst that   caused prices to rise. With a bit of luck, we'll  see history repeat with the Clarity Act having   a positive effect on crypto prices. After that  small rally though, the crypto market is likely   to fall as liquidity is drained due to the debt  refinancing wall, which

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