Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $35,399 on Nov 7, 2023. On Dec 7, 2023 it closed at $43,273, a return of +22.2%. SPY returned +4.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $35,399 on Nov 7, 2023. On Feb 5, 2024 it closed at $42,709, a return of +20.6%. SPY returned +13.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $35,399 on Nov 7, 2023. On May 5, 2024 it closed at $64,012, a return of +80.8%. SPY returned +17.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $35,399 on Nov 7, 2023. On Nov 6, 2024 it closed at $75,572, a return of +113.5%. SPY returned +37.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 6, 2026.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 5, 2028.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $35,399 on Nov 7, 2023. On Dec 31, 2024 it closed at $93,576, a return of +164.3%. SPY returned +36.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.