Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Feb 7, 2026, at 11:44 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“This suggests that the parabolic up only liquidityfueled rallies of the past, well, they might be harder to come by under Wars Fed.”
Watch at 11:44New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Nomination Crashes Gold, Silver & Bitcoin - What It Means For Crypto 2026
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 180 days
Correct so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$69,289

Feb 7, 2026

Price at close

$64,324

Aug 6, 2026

Return

−7.2%

S&P 500 +11.3%

BTC closed at $69,289 on Feb 7, 2026. On Aug 6, 2026 it closed at $64,324, a return of −7.2%. SPY returned +11.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026Feb 2027Said on Feb 7, 2026
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2025Feb 2026Aug 2026Feb 2027Said on Feb 7, 2026

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$69,289Feb 7, 2026$68,432Mar 9, 2026−1.2%S&P 500 −2.3%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$69,289Feb 7, 2026$80,193May 8, 2026+15.7%S&P 500 +6.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$69,289Feb 7, 2026$64,324Aug 6, 2026−7.2%S&P 500 +11.3%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 7, 2027——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 6, 2029——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 6, 2031——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $69,289 on Feb 7, 2026. On Mar 9, 2026 it closed at $68,432, a return of −1.2%. SPY returned −2.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $69,289 on Feb 7, 2026. On May 8, 2026 it closed at $80,193, a return of +15.7%. SPY returned +6.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $69,289 on Feb 7, 2026. On Aug 6, 2026 it closed at $64,324, a return of −7.2%. SPY returned +11.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 7, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 6, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 6, 2031.

What was said around it

follows through on his philosophy, we are looking at a higher for longer environment for real rates combined with a shrinking balance sheet. For crypto, this is a double-edged sword. Worse understands the tech. He won't try to ban it. He might even try to push for clearer regulations that legitimize the industry, but he's not going to pump your bags with easy money. He views Bitcoin as a policeman for fiscal irresponsibility. If Bitcoin pumps worse takes it as a signal that he needs to tighten policy is a self-correcting mechanism. This suggests that the parabolic up only liquidityfueled rallies of the past, well, they might be harder to come by under Wars Fed. Instead, we might see a market that trades more on fundamentals and utility and less on pure monetary debasement. And there is one final wrinkle. Well, that's the Senate. Wars isn't confirmed yet. Senator Thom Tillis has threatened to block all Fed nominees. If Wars gets stuck in confirmation purgatory, we could see months of uncertainty. And as we all know, markets hate uncertainty more than anything else. So where does this leave us? Well, the nomination of Kevin Wars is a gamecher. It signals that the era of the Fed put, the

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all