Coin Bureau: GDP — not judged: the rule reads only US national figures

Said on Aug 23, 2022, at 17:33 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“europe looks to be heading into a cold winter of negative economic growth”
Watch at 17:33China's Economic CRASH: Why It's Coming & What It Means
PredictionGDP— not judged: the rule reads only US national figuresChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names another country, currency or central bank; this rule reads US figures only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

GDPWindow checkedRecession (NBER)
−40%−20%0%20%40%60%201920202021202220222023Said on Aug 23, 2022
−50%0%50%100%2019202120222023Said on Aug 23, 2022

Real GDP: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED, figures as first published. The shaded span is the window the call was checked over; grey bands are recessions.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-MACRO-LEVEL v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names another country, currency or central bank; this rule reads US figures only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names another country, currency or central bank; this rule reads US figures only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names another country, currency or central bank; this rule reads US figures only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names another country, currency or central bank; this rule reads US figures only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names another country, currency or central bank; this rule reads US figures only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names another country, currency or central bank; this rule reads US figures only.

What was said around it

it's not so easy to ascertain the risk of all this because often these international assets are held through trusts offshore companies and other vehicles but beyond the fire sale of international assets the global economic impact could be far worse without stating the obvious china is the world's second largest economy it's a massive consumer of global exports and any collapse in its economic growth will mean that other countries will see their trade with china collapsed too this will come at a time when the global economy is already looking the worse for wear europe looks to be heading into a cold winter of negative economic growth the us is still teetering on the brink of recession as growth there begins to sputter and one final risk that could come from a chinese economic crash is a full-blown war if china really does enter a period of economic strife then the government there could look to distract from that with an aggressive and assertive foreign policy one of the most prized targets for the chinese both from a political and economic standpoint is taiwan and i talked about this in much greater detail in my recent video which you can find in the top right here now of course i hope

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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