Joseph Carlson: DPZ will rise

Said on Mar 30, 2022, at 22:57 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“when i look at the upside and downside and i look at it historically i see a lot more upside right now than downside”
Watch at 22:57I Just Bought A New Stock
PredictionDPZwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$406.27

Mar 30, 2022

Price at close

$327.65

Mar 30, 2023

Total return, dividends included

−18.3%

S&P 500 −10.5%

DPZ closed at $406.27 on Mar 30, 2022. On Mar 30, 2023 it closed at $327.65, a total return of −18.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.5%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

DPZWindow checked
$200$300$400$500$600Oct 2021Jan 2022May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Said on Mar 30, 2022
$200$300$400$500$600Oct 2021Apr 2022Nov 2022May 2023Said on Mar 30, 2022

DPZ closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$406.27Mar 30, 2022$338.00Apr 29, 2022−16.8%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −10.2%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$406.27Mar 30, 2022$390.71Jun 28, 2022−3.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −16.7%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$406.27Mar 30, 2022$324.74Sep 26, 2022−19.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −19.9%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$406.27Mar 30, 2022$327.65Mar 30, 2023−18.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −10.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$406.27Mar 30, 2022$447.12Mar 28, 2025+14.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +26.6%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 29, 2027——
Why: 30 days

DPZ closed at $406.27 on Mar 30, 2022. On Apr 29, 2022 it closed at $338.00, a total return of −16.8% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

DPZ closed at $406.27 on Mar 30, 2022. On Jun 28, 2022 it closed at $390.71, a total return of −3.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −16.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

DPZ closed at $406.27 on Mar 30, 2022. On Sep 26, 2022 it closed at $324.74, a total return of −19.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −19.9%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

DPZ closed at $406.27 on Mar 30, 2022. On Mar 30, 2023 it closed at $327.65, a total return of −18.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.5%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

DPZ closed at $406.27 on Mar 30, 2022. On Mar 28, 2025 it closed at $447.12, a total return of +14.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +26.6%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 29, 2027.

What was said around it

high as a 38 or 39 ford pe this is a company that's gotten all the way up to a 40 ford p e ratio so when i look at this and i try to determine does dominoes have more upside or more downside i think historically looking it has far more upside the growth of dominoes remains very strong the mode of the company remains very strong they still have a huge leg up over all of their competitors and i expect their earnings growth to continue at a very brisk pace they're going to have 12 percent eps gains i think for the very long term future so when i look at the upside and downside and i look at it historically i see a lot more upside right now than downside there is a chance that dominoes could lose their lead and maybe it would trade down to 2013 levels but i think that's very unlikely when i look at the potential downside there's only a few times in its history it's ever gone down that much and i think the reason that the p e ratio right now is as low as it currently is is because of the scary environment we're in we have high inflation we have increasing interest rates we have lots of near-term threats to the economy and to the stock market but typically that's been a very good time to

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