Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Feb 6, 2025, at 8:17 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“the price of BTC could multiply several times over without its market cap coming close to Golds”
Watch at 8:17Bitcoin: The Next Gold? Why Nations Are Eyeing BTC Reserves!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$96,554

Feb 6, 2025

Price at close

$70,580

Feb 6, 2026

Return

−26.9%

S&P 500 +15.2%

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Feb 6, 2026 it closed at $70,580, a return of −26.9%. SPY returned +15.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Within band

180 days

Correct

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2024Dec 2024Apr 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Said on Feb 6, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2024Feb 2025Sep 2025Apr 2026Said on Feb 6, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$96,554Feb 6, 2025$86,222Mar 8, 2025−10.7%S&P 500 −5.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Within band$96,554Feb 6, 2025$97,031May 7, 2025+0.5%S&P 500 −7.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$96,554Feb 6, 2025$114,130Aug 5, 2025+18.2%S&P 500 +4.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$96,554Feb 6, 2025$70,580Feb 6, 2026−26.9%S&P 500 +15.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 6, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 5, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Mar 8, 2025 it closed at $86,222, a return of −10.7%. SPY returned −5.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On May 7, 2025 it closed at $97,031, a return of +0.5%. SPY returned −7.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Aug 5, 2025 it closed at $114,130, a return of +18.2%. SPY returned +4.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $96,554 on Feb 6, 2025. On Feb 6, 2026 it closed at $70,580, a return of −26.9%. SPY returned +15.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 6, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 5, 2030.

What was said around it

International race by governments to establish a position of their own the present window of we're still early would then close rather quickly as demand for BTC outstrips Supply and price is bid up by nation states all trying to clamber through said window before it's too late at the time of making this video bitcoin's market cap is $2 trillion this is an enormous number but less so if we're talking about an asset that could be widely held in reserve by nation states for reference the market cap of gold is more than nine times larger at around $18.7 trillion the price of BTC could multiply several times over without its market cap coming close to Golds so in this context any govern announcing a strategic Bitcoin Reserve would invite much scrutiny about its average entry you may recall last summer when Germany was ridiculed for the sale of 50,000 state-owned BTC at $53,000 we laughed about it but this was a terribly negligent move if even the slightest care had been taken the state could have raised billions of dollars more in revenue from this sale to spend on you know hospitals schools and so on Germany was a case study in how not to sell your BTC and no country will want to do the same thing

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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