Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $41,002 on Mar 21, 2022. On Apr 20, 2022 it closed at $41,358, a return of +0.9%. SPY returned +0.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $41,002 on Mar 21, 2022. On Jun 19, 2022 it closed at $20,574, a return of −49.8%. SPY returned −17.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $41,002 on Mar 21, 2022. On Sep 17, 2022 it closed at $20,114, a return of −50.9%. SPY returned −12.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $41,002 on Mar 21, 2022. On Mar 21, 2023 it closed at $28,105, a return of −31.5%. SPY returned −8.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
BTC closed at $41,002 on Mar 21, 2022. On Mar 20, 2025 it closed at $84,223, a return of +105.4%. SPY returned +32.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 20, 2027.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $41,002 on Mar 21, 2022. On Apr 11, 2022 it closed at $39,530, a return of −3.6%. SPY returned −1.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.