Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $66,785 on Jul 29, 2024. On Aug 28, 2024 it closed at $59,035, a return of −11.6%. SPY returned +2.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $66,785 on Jul 29, 2024. On Oct 27, 2024 it closed at $68,022, a return of +1.9%. SPY returned +6.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $66,785 on Jul 29, 2024. On Jan 25, 2025 it closed at $104,747, a return of +56.8%. SPY returned +12.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $66,785 on Jul 29, 2024. On Jul 29, 2025 it closed at $117,951, a return of +76.6%. SPY returned +18.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 29, 2027.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 28, 2029.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $66,785 on Jul 29, 2024. On Aug 12, 2024 it closed at $59,347, a return of −11.1%. SPY returned −2.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.