Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Apr 18, 2024, at 14:27 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“it's possible that this draw down will be much lower once more experienced hands start holding more BTC”
Watch at 14:27Bitcoin Halving 2024!! What It Means For YOUR Crypto Portfolio!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$63,470

Apr 18, 2024

Price at close

$84,475

Apr 18, 2025

Return

+33.1%

S&P 500 +6.7%

BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Apr 18, 2025 it closed at $84,475, a return of +33.1%. SPY returned +6.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000Oct 2023Feb 2024Jun 2024Oct 2024Feb 2025Jun 2025Said on Apr 18, 2024
$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000Oct 2023May 2024Nov 2024Jun 2025Said on Apr 18, 2024

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$63,470Apr 18, 2024$66,915May 18, 2024+5.4%S&P 500 +6.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$63,470Apr 18, 2024$64,088Jul 17, 2024+1.0%S&P 500 +11.9%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$63,470Apr 18, 2024$67,074Oct 15, 2024+5.7%S&P 500 +16.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$63,470Apr 18, 2024$84,475Apr 18, 2025+33.1%S&P 500 +6.7%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Apr 18, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Apr 17, 2029——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On May 18, 2024 it closed at $66,915, a return of +5.4%. SPY returned +6.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Jul 17, 2024 it closed at $64,088, a return of +1.0%. SPY returned +11.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Oct 15, 2024 it closed at $67,074, a return of +5.7%. SPY returned +16.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Apr 18, 2025 it closed at $84,475, a return of +33.1%. SPY returned +6.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 18, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 17, 2029.

What was said around it

when you combine it with the price target of 2.5x from today there's just one caveat and that's that it's possible that the approval of the spot Bitcoin ETFs has changed btc's market dynamics many have argued that the ETFs have unlocked a previously untapped source of capital which could flow into BTC and take its price much higher than what many have in mind more importantly it's possible that these ETF flows will limit how much BTC will crash after the next cycle top is in for context BTC has historically Fallen by over 70% from top to bottom it's possible that this draw down will be much lower once more experienced hands start holding more BTC if it's not the ETFs that do it then buying by central banks could do the trick instead for reference central banks will be allowed to hold up to 2% of their balance sheets in crypto starting from the 1st of January 2025 the Central Bank of Switzerland actually noted in 2022 that it would be open to buying BTC someday and come to think of it it's quite possible that a big BTC buy by a major Central Bank will be the Catalyst that will Mark the top of btc's price alternatively it could Mark the beginning of the blowoff top phase of the crypt bull

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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