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Joseph Carlson: a call under review

Said on Jul 8, 2024, at 18:16 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“Nvidia currently has a 54 PE ratio and a 40 price to sales this is a pretty high valuation and if I'm looking at this stock right now I think there's far more chance that it's going to have mult mple compression over the next 5 years than multiple expansion”
Watch at 18:16The NVIDIA Bubble Is About To Pop
Predictiona call under review
What happened
Not scored

How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.

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The window it was checked over

NVDAWindow checked
$0$50$100$150$200Jan 2024May 2024Sep 2024Jan 2025May 2025Sep 2025Said on Jul 8, 2024
$0$50$100$150$200Jan 2024Jul 2024Feb 2025Sep 2025Said on Jul 8, 2024

NVDA closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

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How this call was recorded (its subject, its direction or a figure) is being checked again, because the words may not say what was first recorded. It is not scored until a person has reviewed it.

What was said around it

is now trying to build out because of how profitable it is I think the margins are more likely to go down over the next 3 years years than up there is a chance they could go up maybe Nvidia can protect their remote completely but I have to believe there's more of a chance of margins going down then up and then finally the current valuation of the stock is it a low valuation that will lead to multiple expansion or high starting valuation leading to multiple compression Nvidia currently has a 54 PE ratio and a 40 price to sales this is a pretty high valuation and if I'm looking at this stock right now I think there's far more chance that it's going to have mult mple compression over the next 5 years than multiple expansion maybe the PE Ratio could go to 60 or 70 maybe the price to sales could go to 50 but overall I see far more downside with their multiples than upside so it's priced at a price right now with a high starting valuation and very high expectations from investors when I look over the situation overall I see a company that is likely to have decelerating Revenue growth decelerating earnings growth margin compression and it's at a pretty high valuation now that doesn't mean that

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Coin Bureau, relaying another source: NVDA — no direction stated

“options prices potentially say that we could see swings in terms of 10 to 10% up or down when it comes to the actual earnings in in video stock”

Aug 26, 2024

Relayed

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“maybe Nvidia will continue to trade upwards with Incredible demand especially in the short term but over the next 3 to 5 years I have to look at this from the perspective of a value investor with the fundamentals the valuation and the future growth prospects of the company and right now I see a lot of reasons to be a little bit concerned about this company more than to be extremely bullish on it”

Jul 8, 2024

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonNVDAwill fall

“maybe the PE Ratio could go to 60 or 70 maybe the price to sales could go to 50 but overall I see far more downside with their multiples than upside”

Jul 8, 2024 · after 1 year

Incorrect+21.8%

Joseph CarlsonNVDAwill fall

“if I have to take a guess here with margins at 65% for something that every company is now trying to build out because of how profitable it is I think the margins are more likely to go down over the next 3 years years than up”

Jul 8, 2024 · after 1 year

Incorrect+21.8%

Joseph Carlsona call under review

“the earnings per share has gone up 631 per over the past year it is impossible for NVIDIA to keep these earnings growth rates up it is going to decelerate dramatically over the next year”

Jul 8, 2024

Not scored

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“nvidia's Revenue growth is going to decelerate quickly nvidia's Revenue growth is going from rates of 97% down to 30% and from 30% it's only going to decelerate more and more”

Jul 8, 2024

Not scored