Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $107,297 on Jun 28, 2025. On Jul 28, 2025 it closed at $118,062, a return of +10.0%. SPY returned +3.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $107,297 on Jun 28, 2025. On Sep 26, 2025 it closed at $109,643, a return of +2.2%. SPY returned +7.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $107,297 on Jun 28, 2025. On Dec 25, 2025 it closed at $87,225, a return of −18.7%. SPY returned +12.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $107,297 on Jun 28, 2025. On Jun 28, 2026 it closed at $59,577, a return of −44.5%. SPY returned +19.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 27, 2028.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jun 27, 2030.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $107,297 on Jun 28, 2025. On Sep 26, 2025 it closed at $109,643, a return of +2.2%. SPY returned +7.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.