Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Feb 25, 2026, at 12:53 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“The question isn't whether  Bitcoin recovers. History says it does every   single time, even from a 40 to 50% draw down.”
Watch at 12:53Wall Street Just Proved Bitcoin Is Not Digital Gold (The Data Is Terrifying)
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 180 days
Correct so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$67,988

Feb 25, 2026

Price at close

$78,993

Aug 24, 2026

Return

+16.2%

S&P 500 +10.7%

BTC closed at $67,988 on Feb 25, 2026. On Aug 24, 2026 it closed at $78,993, a return of +16.2%. SPY returned +10.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Feb 2027Said on Feb 25, 2026
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Aug 2025Feb 2026Aug 2026Feb 2027Said on Feb 25, 2026

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$67,988Feb 25, 2026$66,407Mar 27, 2026−2.3%S&P 500 −8.3%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$67,988Feb 25, 2026$75,930May 26, 2026+11.7%S&P 500 +8.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$67,988Feb 25, 2026$78,993Aug 24, 2026+16.2%S&P 500 +10.7%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 25, 2027——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 24, 2029——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 24, 2031——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $67,988 on Feb 25, 2026. On Mar 27, 2026 it closed at $66,407, a return of −2.3%. SPY returned −8.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $67,988 on Feb 25, 2026. On May 26, 2026 it closed at $75,930, a return of +11.7%. SPY returned +8.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $67,988 on Feb 25, 2026. On Aug 24, 2026 it closed at $78,993, a return of +16.2%. SPY returned +10.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 25, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 24, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 24, 2031.

What was said around it

evaporated. Bitcoin is   currently failing its test as a short-term safe  haven. When the VIX spikes and the NASDAQ bleeds,   Bitcoin is going to bleed with it. And this  is the price of institutional adoption. But if   these global tariffs spark a new wave of sticky  inflation, the fundamental thesis for holding a   decentralized cap supply asset has never been  stronger. The weak hands are being shaken out   by Wall Street algorithms and forced liquidations,  leaving the true believers to scoop up the pieces   at a massive discount. The question isn't whether  Bitcoin recovers. History says it does every   single time, even from a 40 to 50% draw down. The  question is, are you the one still holding when it   does? But what do you folks think? Is Bitcoin  safe haven narrative officially dead, or is   this just the start of a temporary macroeconomic  shakeout? Let me know in the comments down below.   And if you want to understand how the Fed might  actually react to these tariffs and what it means   for interest rates, check out our macro deep  dive right over here. Okay, that's all from   me for now. Thank you guys very much for watching  and I'll see you again soon. Nick, over and

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