Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Feb 28, 2022, at 4:58 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“this historical trend along with other indicators suggests the recovery could actually continue”
Watch at 4:58Crypto News: Ukraine, Bitcoin, LUNA, XRP, SEC & More! 📰
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$43,160

Feb 28, 2022

Price at close

$23,142

Feb 28, 2023

Return

−46.4%

S&P 500 −7.8%

BTC closed at $43,160 on Feb 28, 2022. On Feb 28, 2023 it closed at $23,142, a return of −46.4%. SPY returned −7.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000$70,000Sep 2021Dec 2021May 2022Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Said on Feb 28, 2022
$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000Sep 2021Mar 2022Oct 2022Apr 2023Said on Feb 28, 2022

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$43,160Feb 28, 2022$47,068Mar 30, 2022+9.1%S&P 500 +5.4%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$43,160Feb 28, 2022$29,468May 29, 2022−31.7%S&P 500 −4.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$43,160Feb 28, 2022$20,038Aug 27, 2022−53.6%S&P 500 −6.5%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$43,160Feb 28, 2022$23,142Feb 28, 2023−46.4%S&P 500 −7.8%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$43,160Feb 28, 2022$84,709Feb 27, 2025+96.3%S&P 500 +40.0%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Feb 27, 2027——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $43,160 on Feb 28, 2022. On Mar 30, 2022 it closed at $47,068, a return of +9.1%. SPY returned +5.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $43,160 on Feb 28, 2022. On May 29, 2022 it closed at $29,468, a return of −31.7%. SPY returned −4.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $43,160 on Feb 28, 2022. On Aug 27, 2022 it closed at $20,038, a return of −53.6%. SPY returned −6.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $43,160 on Feb 28, 2022. On Feb 28, 2023 it closed at $23,142, a return of −46.4%. SPY returned −7.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $43,160 on Feb 28, 2022. On Feb 27, 2025 it closed at $84,709, a return of +96.3%. SPY returned +40.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Feb 27, 2027.

What was said around it

of course leveraged traders who lost close to half a billion dollars in liquidations during that time these liquidations drove prices much lower than they otherwise would have gone creating the long wick at the bottom of the daily candle for btc as you can see here if you're wondering why the crypto market recovered the answer seems to be some amount of certainty now that investors know russia has invaded they can hedge themselves accordingly the price action of asset markets after previous invasions of foreign countries supports this thesis and this historical trend along with other indicators suggests the recovery could actually continue however there is another black swan which could emerge in the coming weeks that i must bring your attention to as i mentioned a few moments ago many countries around the world though chiefly those in the west have been imposing harsh economic sanctions against russia in response to its invasion of ukraine the so-called nuclear option in this regard is removing russian banks from the society for worldwide interbank financial telecommunication or swift system for context the swift system is how over 11 000 banks in 200 countries communicate and it

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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