Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Oct 9, 2025, at 10:37 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“Naturally, this isn't  sustainable, suggesting a major upside breakout is   imminent.”
Watch at 10:37The Crypto Market Is RIGGED!? What You NEED To know!!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$121,662

Oct 9, 2025

Price at close

$82,636

Oct 9, 2026

Return

−32.1%

S&P 500 +17.3%

BTC closed at $121,662 on Oct 9, 2025. On Oct 9, 2026 it closed at $82,636, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +17.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026Said on Oct 9, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026Said on Oct 9, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$121,662Oct 9, 2025$102,313Nov 8, 2025−15.9%S&P 500 0.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$121,662Oct 9, 2025$91,364Jan 7, 2026−24.9%S&P 500 +3.0%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$121,662Oct 9, 2025$71,924Apr 7, 2026−40.9%S&P 500 −1.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$121,662Oct 9, 2025$82,636Oct 9, 2026−32.1%S&P 500 +17.3%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 8, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 8, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $121,662 on Oct 9, 2025. On Nov 8, 2025 it closed at $102,313, a return of −15.9%. SPY returned 0.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $121,662 on Oct 9, 2025. On Jan 7, 2026 it closed at $91,364, a return of −24.9%. SPY returned +3.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $121,662 on Oct 9, 2025. On Apr 7, 2026 it closed at $71,924, a return of −40.9%. SPY returned −1.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $121,662 on Oct 9, 2025. On Oct 9, 2026 it closed at $82,636, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +17.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 8, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 8, 2030.

What was said around it

Recently active coins moving   means low dormcancy. Entity adjusted just means  that internal transfers by the same holders have   been filtered out. Historically, when this ratio  falls below about 250,000, aka the green zone,   it often signals a market bottom, meaning Bitcoin  is undervalued relative to dormant coin activity,   and could rally soon. When it climbs back above  250,000 after a dip, it has often signaled a major   bull run. Lo and behold, glass node data reveals  that BTC's dormcancy is currently around 133,000,   well below the green zone. Naturally, this isn't  sustainable, suggesting a major upside breakout is   imminent. The second indicator is short-term  holder nil, which is simpler to grasp. NLE,   which stands for net unrealized profit or loss,  has just turned negative, meaning most short-term   holders, those that have held BTC for fewer  than 155 days, are in the red. Historically,   when short-term null capitulates, it often marks  a local bottom since nobody wants to sell BTC at   a loss. The third indicator can be found on BTC's  chart. Recent price action has painted a double   bottom. The technical analyst among you will know  that this typically signals that

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