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Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Oct 12, 2025, at 8:02 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“This suggests that   the smart money believes the long-term bull  run is still very much alive.”
Watch at 8:0219B Crypto Crash: Who Is Behind This?
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$114,959

Oct 12, 2025

Price at close

$81,850

Oct 12, 2026

Return

−28.8%

S&P 500 +18.6%

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Oct 12, 2026 it closed at $81,850, a return of −28.8%. SPY returned +18.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026Said on Oct 12, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026Said on Oct 12, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$103,059Nov 11, 2025−10.4%S&P 500 +3.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$90,505Jan 10, 2026−21.3%S&P 500 +5.0%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$72,963Apr 10, 2026−36.5%S&P 500 +3.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$81,850Oct 12, 2026−28.8%S&P 500 +18.6%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 11, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 11, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Nov 11, 2025 it closed at $103,059, a return of −10.4%. SPY returned +3.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Jan 10, 2026 it closed at $90,505, a return of −21.3%. SPY returned +5.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Apr 10, 2026 it closed at $72,963, a return of −36.5%. SPY returned +3.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Oct 12, 2026 it closed at $81,850, a return of −28.8%. SPY returned +18.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 11, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 11, 2030.

What was said around it

chaos, Bitcoin held the critical  $100,000 support zone. After a brief dip below   $12,000, it quickly bounced back and has since  stabilized in the $110 to $113,000 range.   So this tells us that the crash was primarily a  derivativesled leverage flush, not a fundamental   breakdown in spot market conviction. In fact,  onchain data shows that institutions saw this   as a massive buying opportunity. Black Rockck's  spot ETF reportedly scooped up over 21,000 BTC mid   chaos, and XRP Wales added over a billion tokens  to their bags during the dip. This suggests that   the smart money believes the long-term bull  run is still very much alive. The fundamentals   have not changed. Only sentiment and leverage  have. This event has brutally reset the market,   clearing out the excessive greed and creating a  much healthier foundation for a sustainable climb.   However, that said, the path forward is far from  certain for altcoins. Meanwhile, the picture is   a lot more concerning. The carnage was so severe  that many are asking if altcoin season is now over   before it even truly began. The altcoin season  index has fallen to 55, well below the 75point   threshold that signals a true alt

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Coin BureauBTCwill rise

“If you're looking for a catalyst for the crypto market to rally on, this is it.”

Jul 21, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+23.1%

Coin BureauBTCwill rise

“This is the foundation for a steady bull market as regulatory certainty finally arrives and the”

Jul 21, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+23.1%

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“I actually don't think now is the worst time to buy, especially with sentiment being so negative right now.”

Jun 29, 2026

Not scored

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: BTC will rise

“a striking number of independent analysts converge on the same window, Q4 2026 as the highest probability bottom.”

Jun 29, 2026

Relayed

Coin BureauBTCwill rise

“So today, I'm going to break down exactly what the   CFTC approved, walk through why this is generally  bullish for crypto and for hype in the short term,   and lay out why this same decision is actually  a warning shot aimed straight at Hyperlquid.”

Jun 23, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+38.1%

Coin Bureau, relaying Alex Thorn: BTC will fall to $40,000

“Galaxy's Alex Thorn even floats a panic scenario down at 40 to $46,000.”

Jun 21, 2026

Relayed