Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Aug 6, 2022, at 22:17 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“while it appears that the current recovery rally could last until then there are a few wild cards coming up later this month that could cut the rally short”
Watch at 22:17What Jerome Powell Said: This is What The Fed is Going to Do!!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$22,954

Aug 6, 2022

Price at close

$29,088

Aug 6, 2023

Return

+26.7%

S&P 500 +10.0%

BTC closed at $22,954 on Aug 6, 2022. On Aug 6, 2023 it closed at $29,088, a return of +26.7%. SPY returned +10.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Feb 2022Jun 2022Oct 2022Feb 2023Jun 2023Oct 2023Said on Aug 6, 2022
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Feb 2022Aug 2022Mar 2023Oct 2023Said on Aug 6, 2022

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$22,954Aug 6, 2022$19,797Sep 5, 2022−13.8%S&P 500 −5.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$22,954Aug 6, 2022$21,149Nov 4, 2022−7.9%S&P 500 −8.5%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$22,954Aug 6, 2022$23,489Feb 2, 2023+2.3%S&P 500 +1.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$22,954Aug 6, 2022$29,088Aug 6, 2023+26.7%S&P 500 +10.0%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$22,954Aug 6, 2022$114,130Aug 5, 2025+397.2%S&P 500 +58.7%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Aug 5, 2027——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $22,954 on Aug 6, 2022. On Sep 5, 2022 it closed at $19,797, a return of −13.8%. SPY returned −5.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $22,954 on Aug 6, 2022. On Nov 4, 2022 it closed at $21,149, a return of −7.9%. SPY returned −8.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $22,954 on Aug 6, 2022. On Feb 2, 2023 it closed at $23,489, a return of +2.3%. SPY returned +1.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $22,954 on Aug 6, 2022. On Aug 6, 2023 it closed at $29,088, a return of +26.7%. SPY returned +10.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $22,954 on Aug 6, 2022. On Aug 5, 2025 it closed at $114,130, a return of +397.2%. SPY returned +58.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 5, 2027.

What was said around it

rates jerome punched back by saying that the fed must reduce inflation at all costs because without price stability the economy will completely fall apart speaking of which you can find out how best to beat inflation using the link in the description so this brings me to the big question and that's what all of jerome's comments mean for the crypto market in the coming months in short it all depends on the inflation and economic data that comes out between now and late september when the fed comes back from its break while it appears that the current recovery rally could last until then there are a few wild cards coming up later this month that could cut the rally short the first is the pce figures for july which will come out on the 26th of august given that the pce is the fed's favorite inflation figure a high reading here could cause the markets to crash in anticipation of an aggressive hike the second wild card is actually scheduled for the same day and that's the revised gdp figures for q2 which will also be published on the 26th of august circle it in red folks if these gdp figures are revised up meaning the us is no longer in a technical recession this could embolden the fed

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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