Joseph Carlson: VICI will rise

Said on May 1, 2023, at 12:12 in the video.

What was saidMay 1, 2023

@josephcarlsonshow

“I believe that the properties in Vegas are going to climb a value a meaningful amount so I'm not concerned about this company at all”

Watch at 12:12I'm Concerned About Apple's Earnings, Here's Why | Joseph Carlson Ep. 317

PredictionVICIwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

What happenedafter 1 year

Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$33.78

May 1, 2023

Price at close

$28.55

Apr 30, 2024

Total return, dividends included

−10.9%

S&P 500 +22.6%

VICI closed at $33.78 on May 1, 2023. On Apr 30, 2024 it closed at $28.55, a total return of −10.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +22.6%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidence Report a problem

The window it was checked over

VICIWindow checked

VICI closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Result at every window
Window	Result	At the start	At the end	Change	Benchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$33.78May 1, 2023	$30.93May 31, 2023	−8.4%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +0.6%
90 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$33.78May 1, 2023	$31.79Jul 28, 2023	−4.7%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +10.4%
180 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$33.78May 1, 2023	$27.34Oct 27, 2023	−17.0%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 −0.4%
1 yearR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$33.78May 1, 2023	$28.55Apr 30, 2024	−10.9%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +22.6%
3 yearsR-DIR v4	Correct	$33.78May 1, 2023	$29.20Apr 30, 2026	+2.3%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +79.7%
5 yearsR-DIR v4	Pending	—	—Apr 28, 2028	—	—

Why: 30 days

VICI closed at $33.78 on May 1, 2023. On May 31, 2023 it closed at $30.93, a total return of −8.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +0.6%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

VICI closed at $33.78 on May 1, 2023. On Jul 28, 2023 it closed at $31.79, a total return of −4.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +10.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

VICI closed at $33.78 on May 1, 2023. On Oct 27, 2023 it closed at $27.34, a total return of −17.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −0.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Why: 3 years

VICI closed at $33.78 on May 1, 2023. On Apr 30, 2026 it closed at $29.20, a total return of +2.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +79.7%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 28, 2028.

What was said around it

type of weakness in their earnings I'm going to use that as an opportunity to deploy some of my cash and I would love to add more to Texas Roadhouse if we see weakness in the stock price but it would have to trade down a meaningful amount so if it drops by ten percent I'm going to be buying a lot of this company vichi is a company reporting earnings today this is one that I'm not worried about I don't pay too much attention to it I think that VT is going to be fine they're collecting their rent they're buying more real estate and I believe that the properties in Vegas are going to climb a value a meaningful amount so I'm not concerned about this company at all and then finally we get to Apple the biggest company in the market that's reporting earnings this Thursday and I want to go into why I'm a bit concerned about this upcoming earnings report now diving into Apple's upcoming earnings this Thursday I first want to look at what the technical analysts are saying about this stock now I myself am a investor that looks at the fundamentals of companies meaning I look at what I believe the free cash flows will be the adjusted free cash flows I look at the earnings and I look at what I believe

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I continue to hold vichi because I feel the tenant roster is getting stronger by the day the income line is contractual based there's incremental rent raises and this company pays me massive dividends that grow every single year”

Nov 20, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonVICIwill outperform

“I don't believe this is going to last forever and I don't believe that vich will underperform per the S&P 500 forever”

Oct 16, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonVICIwill outperform

“I believe that Vichy is the most likely to outperform based on the low valuation it currently has the high yield and the fact that it's growing its yield faster than most other reads”

Aug 2, 2023

Not scored

Joseph Carlsona call under review

“I believe vici's fair value today remains around 36 dollars per share so I see ample upside in the stock”

Jul 26, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonVICI— a company event

“I think vichi's gonna buy this thing I think there's a very high probability of it I would give the odds right now around 60 percent I think that's the chance that Vichy ends up buying this”

Jun 27, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonVICIwill outperform

“I think the company is going to continue to compound for the next five years like it has when I look at the five-year chart it goes right along with the intrinsic value of the company compounding quite nicely above the rate of the market this company has been a wildly Market beating return and I think we'll see more of that in the future”

Mar 30, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

The window it was checked over

Result at every window

What was said around it

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